221 Liberty Terrace Dr · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and view this amazing corner lot renovation opportunity that sits just minutes from I-10. This property has 3 bedrooms with tons of potential! The seller has put in new carpet, but the finishing touches must be completed by you! Schedule your private viewing today!
Key facts
- New carpet
- Corner lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.3% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 83 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,864/mo this rent would consume 115% of the median local household income ($19k/yr) (locally 795% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $175k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.99%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,523
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 3.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 Simmons Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (+2%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $126 | 87 |
| 2640 Clover St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (-1%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $65 | 67 |
| 2724 Clover St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,571 (+7%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 2736 Lavender St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,426 (-3%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $144 | 62 |
| 2640 Acacia St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,426 (-3%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 2827 Powhatan St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-3%) | 22mo | $135,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 3320 Clematis St | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,455 (-1%) | 14mo | $128,000 | $88 | 55 |
| 2567 Lavender St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (-10%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 2422 Clover St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,534 (+4%) | 15mo | $248,500 | $162 | 51 |
| 2527 Almonaster Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (-5%) | 19mo | $17,000 | $12 | 43 |
| 3816 Gentilly Blvd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (+14%) | 7mo | $309,000 | $184 | 39 |
| 3700 Piedmont Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+10%) | 19mo | $216,500 | $134 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,401
- Equity at exit
- $40,769
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $28,889
- Equity at exit
- $41,567
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70112
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $884/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $441 | -5% $391 | +0% $342 | +5% $292 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $194 | -5% $268 | +0% $342 | +5% $415 | +10% $489 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $430 | -0.5pp $386 | base $342 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2739 Bay St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2644 Elder St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2646 Elder St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2702 Clover St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3316 Metropolitan St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3302 Metropolitan St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2647 Myrtle St Unit 2647 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,550 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2661 Abundance St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2844 Hiawatha St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,475 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2509 Sage St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2558 Acacia St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2650 Gladiolus St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3718 Franklin Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1601 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2754 Jasmine St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,750 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4023 Franklin Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3540 Clermont Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,975 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2425 Jonquil St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3135 N Dorgenois St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,440 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3137 N Dorgenois St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,440 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2509 Piety St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2331 Feliciana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2421 Louisa St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2423 Louisa St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4681 Eastern St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3001 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2219 Almonaster Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3327 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2238 Painters St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,300 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2423 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2556 N Tonti St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3907 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2114 Feliciana St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2114 Feliciana St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2406 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 18d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4767 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2152 Abundance St Unit 2152 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,599 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2010 Saint Ferdinand St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2515 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2515 N Galvez St Unit 2515 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2229 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-12$175,000 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Come and view this amazing corner lot renovation opportunity that sits just minutes from I-10. This property has 3 bedrooms with tons of potential! The seller has put in new carpet, but the finishing touches must be completed by you! Schedule your private viewing today!
-
2026-03-12$175,000 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Come and view this amazing corner lot renovation opportunity that sits just minutes from I-10. This property has 3 bedrooms with tons of potential! The seller has put in new carpet, but the finishing touches must be completed by you! Schedule your private viewing today!
-
2024-04-26price $150,000
-
2024-04-23$150,000 Active
-
1984-11-30soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $962 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$79/yr (+$7/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,363
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$884
- − Insurance
- −$1,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$320
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,490
- Household income
- $19,395
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 795.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 149.1655
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.95%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+182.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $175,000 GSREIN
- 2024-04-26 Price Changed $150,000 GSREIN
- 2024-04-23 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1984-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2026): $884 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…