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12123 W Shadow Lakes St Multi-family
B Composite 72.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

12123 W Shadow Lakes St · Maize, KS 67205
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,158 sqft · MultiFamily · 89 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 3,920 sqft lot $67/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2022

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association present with $800 fee

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Duplex; One level; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $189k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
  • Recommended offer: $178k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#139 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Maize (rural): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #20 of 169 in KS (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Vermillion Elementary School (math 40% / reading 43%, grade F, #306 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 835 students, 25% FRL); Maize Middle School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #62 of 219 statewide, top 28%, 734 students, 29% FRL); Maize Sr High (math 25% / reading 26%, grade F, #98 of 327 statewide, top 30%, 1,289 students, 26% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $177,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
12.84%
Cash-on-cash
23.37%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$39,335
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$136,952
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67205

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,043 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax est. 1.5%
$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$67
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$639
Net cashflow
$1,031

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,738
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,161 -5% $1,096 +0% $1,031 +5% $966 +10% $900
Rent -10% $790 -5% $911 +0% $1,031 +5% $1,151 +10% $1,271
Rate -1.0pp $1,126 -0.5pp $1,079 base $1,031 +0.5pp $982 +1.0pp $932

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,043

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12123 W Cora St Unit 12123 Cora Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1255 $1,495 $1.19 25d 1 0.10mi
12198 Northstar St Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1470 $1,795 $1.22 15d 1 0.58mi
12062 W Fennec St Wichita, KS 3.0 2.0 1182 $1,500 $1.27 25d 1 0.64mi
3700 N 119th St W Wichita, KS 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.0 1632 $1,500 $0.92 15d 1 0.67mi
12452 W Fennec St Wichita, KS 4.0 2.0 1376 $1,695 $1.23 23d 1 0.67mi
12438 W Blanford St Wichita, KS 4.0 2.0 1376 $1,745 $1.27 15d 1 0.72mi
3540 N Maize Rd Wichita, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1027 $1,616 $1.57 15d 13 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$67 · $804/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $189,000 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $195,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
  18. 2026-04-15
    price $199,900
  19. 2026-03-24
    listed $204,900 Active
  20. 2023-03-04
    status Pending
  21. 2023-01-27
    listed $185,000 Active
  22. 2023-01-27
    historical
  23. 2022-10-31
    listed $350,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,516
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$2,835
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,921
− Management
−$2,921
− HOA
−$804
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable income
$10,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,401
After-tax cash flow
$9,969/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This multi-family home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good roof, exterior, and interior, and could benefit from some landscaping and painting to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Maize
NCES district ID
2009140
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$87,686
Composite
38.48/100
National rank
#4184
State rank
#20 of 169 in KS

Livability — Maize

Score
71/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#6865

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Maize, KS
County
Sedgwick County · 432,957 people
City population
6,941
Metro
Wichita, KS
Population (ZIP)
20,098
Household income
$121,245
Rent vs Own
20.6% rent · 79.4% own
Severe rent burden
385.0

Population outlook (Sedgwick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
537,014 people
By 2030
546,984 · +1.9%
By 2040
559,141 · +4.1%
By 2050
562,027 · +4.7%
By 2075
557,255 · +3.8%
By 2100
513,383 · -4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Sedgwick

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 42.3% · R 56.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.6 2016: R+19.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.67%
Current HPI
209.3886
Rent YoY
▲ 4.36%
Metro
Wichita, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-42.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $199,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $204,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-04 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-27 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-27 Listed $185,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-31 Listed $350,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…