117 Sycamore Dr · Marion, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment property, selling AS-IS. A fire happened in one of the bedrooms downstairs to the loft upstairs. Vinyl sidings on the side of the house was damaged.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Convenient access
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 3.8% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#147 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Marion School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #185 of 238 in AR (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 12% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.60%
- DSCR
- 3.07
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,039
- List price
- $55,900
- Delta
- -45.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Lori Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (+13%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 121 Lori Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,122 (-10%) | 13mo | $114,900 | $102 | 70 |
| 92 Willow Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (+1%) | 16mo | $107,500 | $85 | 70 |
| 379 Park Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-3%) | 12mo | $213,000 | $175 | 66 |
| 99 Meadowbrook Cir | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (-7%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 365 Belle Meade Cv | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+13%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $96 | 53 |
| 365 Shiloh Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-10%) | 1mo | $137,900 | $123 | 51 |
| 436 Shiloh Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,302 (+4%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 62 Meadowbrook Cir | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,370 (+10%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 218 Oak St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,413 (+13%) | 6mo | $194,500 | $138 | 40 |
| 348 Redwood Cv | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+12%) | 11mo | $174,900 | $125 | 37 |
| 183 Ross Rd | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-12%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $96 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $29,657
- Equity at exit
- $8,335
- IRR
- 49.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.84×
- Total profit
- $75,691
- Equity at exit
- $4,833
Cash invested: $15,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72364
- Home prices YoY
- -13.3%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$293
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $570/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,975
- Closing costs
- $1,677
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Willow St Marion, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 243 Whispering Wind Cir Marion, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1120 L H Polk St Marion, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,405 | $1.43 | 2d | 9 | 0.99mi |
| 501 Par Dr Marion, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,330 | $1.74 | 2d | 31 | 1.06mi |
| 213 Randolph St Marion, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 308 Gannt St Unit 308 GANNT A Marion, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 310 Gannt St Unit 310 GANNT A Marion, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 324 Gannt St Unit 324 GANNT A Marion, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-04-29$50,000 Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Investment property, selling AS-IS. A fire happened in one of the bedrooms downstairs to the loft upstairs. Vinyl sidings on the side of the house was damaged.
-
2026-03-26$55,900 New Listing 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
Welcome to 117 Sycamore Dr in Marion, a great opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to add value. This property features a functional layout with plenty of potential for updates and customization. The spacious yard offers room for outdoor living, gardening, or future improvements. Located in an established neighborhood with convenient access to schools, shopping, dining, and major highways, this home is well-suited for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or owner-occupant project. Don't miss the chance to bring your vision to life and unlock this property's potential.
-
2011-08-19soldstatus $70,000
-
2001-03-15soldstatus $59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $570 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $570 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,131
- − Property taxes
- −$570
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,181
- − Management
- −$1,181
- − Depreciation
- −$1,626
- Taxable income
- $6,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,630
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,758
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8492
- State rank
- #185 of 238 in AR
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #12733
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, AR
- County
- Crittenden County · 16,034 people
- City population
- 16,034
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,034
- Household income
- $74,462
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 319.0
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.64%
- Current HPI
- 205.4807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-16.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $50,000 EARA
- 2026-03-26 Listed $55,900 CARMLS
- 2011-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $570 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…