168 Callodine Ave · Eggertsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for owner occupant or investor. .. in Amherst w/ Amherst schools, yet steps away from UB's Main Street South campus! Close to shopping, theather , restaurants & public transportation(w/ good highway access), this 4 bedroom home has loads of potential!!! With some imagination, well cared for home has a recent roof natural woodwork and hard wood floors. It could be truly charming! In need of your special touches & cosmetic updates, mechanics truly are solid Boiler is less approximately 6 years old! Ready for you, visit today and make this home YOURS!!! Don't miss out!!!
Key facts
- Easy access
- Amherst area
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Shingle roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Existing (year built: existing)
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Stamped concrete driveway; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($67/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.5% in Eggertsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#34 in NY, #534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-.
- Amherst Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #209 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Windermere Blvd School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 748 students, 49% FRL); Amherst Middle School (math 36% / reading 69%, grade C+, #235 of 729 statewide, top 33%, 623 students, 34% FRL); Amherst Central High School (math 100% / reading 82%, grade A+, #226 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 870 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 22% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $235k implies a 231% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,060
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -16.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 Springville Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,306 (-1%) | 0mo | $322,040 | $247 | 76 |
| 511 Capen Blvd | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 | 1,260 (-4%) | 1mo | $260,504 | $207 | 67 |
| 130 Stevenson Blvd | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,232 (-7%) | 1mo | $347,000 | $282 | 65 |
| 133 Allenhurst Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,410 (+7%) | 1mo | $332,800 | $236 | 60 |
| 50 Fairchild Dr | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 | 1,398 (+6%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $243 | 57 |
| 1436 Eggert Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,380 (+4%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $192 | 55 |
| 12 Delta Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,374 (+4%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $189 | 53 |
| 204 Lyndale Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 | 1,176 (-11%) | 1mo | $268,204 | $228 | 52 |
| 1425 Eggert Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-9%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $138 | 49 |
| 62 Conant Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,404 (+6%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $153 | 46 |
| 206 Lamont Dr | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,188 (-10%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $253 | 45 |
| 17 University Ct | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,512 (+14%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $218 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-26,267
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $29,697
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14226
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,154 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$366 /mo · $4,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $6
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $139 | -5% $72 | +0% $6 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-165 | -5% $-80 | +0% $6 | +5% $91 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $65 | base $6 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 524 University Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 33 Tillotson Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $2,095 | $1.83 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 212 Dellwood Rd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1209 | $3,400 | $2.81 | 3d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 151 Lamson Rd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 3d | 10 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $235,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $235,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $235,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $239,900 430-char remark
-
2026-04-22$269,900 Active 430-char remark
-
2011-03-25soldstatus $71,100 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Great opportunity for owner occupant or investor. .. in Amherst w/ Amherst schools, yet steps away from UB's Main Street South campus! Close to shopping, theather , restaurants & public transportation(w/ good highway access), this 4 bedroom home has loads of potential!!! With some imagination, well cared for home has a recent roof natural woodwork and hard wood floors. It could be truly charming! In need of your special touches & cosmetic updates, mechanics truly are solid Boiler is less approximately 6 years old! Ready for you, visit today and make this home YOURS!!! Don't miss out!!!
-
2011-03-25soldstatus $71,100
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Great opportunity for owner occupant or investor. .. in Amherst w/ Amherst schools, yet steps away from UB's Main Street South campus! Close to shopping, theather , restaurants & public transportation(w/ good highway access), this 4 bedroom home has loads of potential!!! With some imagination, well cared for home has a recent roof natural woodwork and hard wood floors. It could be truly charming! In need of your special touches & cosmetic updates, mechanics truly are solid Boiler is less approximately 6 years old! Ready for you, visit today and make this home YOURS!!! Don't miss out!!!
-
2011-02-08$59,900 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Great opportunity for owner occupant or investor. .. in Amherst w/ Amherst schools, yet steps away from UB's Main Street South campus! Close to shopping, theather , restaurants & public transportation(w/ good highway access), this 4 bedroom home has loads of potential!!! With some imagination, well cared for home has a recent roof natural woodwork and hard wood floors. It could be truly charming! In need of your special touches & cosmetic updates, mechanics truly are solid Boiler is less approximately 6 years old! Ready for you, visit today and make this home YOURS!!! Don't miss out!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,387 · $366/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,387 · $366/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$4,387
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,068
- − Management
- −$2,068
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,853
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$925
- After-tax cash flow
- $991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amherst Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602920
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,551
- Composite
- 53.21/100
- National rank
- #1502
- State rank
- #209 of 590 in NY
Livability — Eggertsville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eggertsville, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 29,482
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,159
- Household income
- $84,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 856.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -270.71%
- Current HPI
- 331.1929
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.01%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+292.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $235,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $239,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
- 2011-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $71,100 Public Records
- 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $71,100 WNYREIS
- 2011-02-08 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,387 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…