18510 W Chicago St · Detroit, MI 48228

$30,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 22,152 sqft · Condo · 4 Days on market

Built 1962 $300/mo HOA · 29% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.9/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Total monthly expense includes water, utilities, maintenance, and taxes

Key facts

• $300 HOA
• Pool
• Built 1962

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $300

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water
• Home design: Condominium; 2-story structure; Built in 1962; Located in a city neighborhood (Detroit), subdivision Emerson Park
• Construction: Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Brick exterior; Inground pool; Patio; Paved street

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on entry level, 7 x 8
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on entry level, 15 x 11, carpeted
• Flooring: Carpet in living room, dining room and bedroom
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on entry level
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central A/C; Natural gas fuel; Gas water heater
• Interior features: 5 total rooms; Private entry (association amenity)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $30k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
• Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.

Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.50%
• DSCR: 2.89
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 34.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $11,299
• Equity at exit: $4,473

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.80×
• Total profit: $23,508
• Equity at exit: $2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48228

• Rents YoY: -2.3%
• Active inventory: 363
• Price-to-rent: 2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,019 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$157
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$38 /mo · $450/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$300
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$214
• Net cashflow: $297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $642

Max offer price $30,000

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $318	-5% $308	+0% $297	+5% $287	+10% $277
Rent	-10% $217	-5% $257	+0% $297	+5% $338	+10% $378
Rate	-1.0pp $313	-0.5pp $305	base $297	+0.5pp $290	+1.0pp $282

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,500
• Closing costs: $900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $300 · $3,600/yr
• Likely covers: water
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $30,000 Active 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $30,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $30,000 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on marketlisting id $30,000 Active 1 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $30,000 Active 3 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   remarks 71-char remark
7. 2026-06-13
   listed $30,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,225
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,680
• − Property taxes: −$450
• − Insurance: −$150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$978
• − Management: −$978
• − HOA: −$3,600
• − Depreciation: −$873
• Taxable income: $3,516
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$844
• After-tax cash flow: $2,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Public Schools Community District
• NCES district ID: 2601103
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $25,815
• Composite: 13.06/100
• National rank: #9564
• State rank: #499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 572,865
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 50,117
• Household income: $30,680
• Rent vs Own: 50.7% rent · 49.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -160.81%
• Current HPI: 168.6843
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.30%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+93.5% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-02-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2026-02-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $29,000 REALCOMP
• 2025-08-21 Listed $38,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-08-21 Listed $38,500 REALCOMP
• 2006-10-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2006-04-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2006-01-17 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2005-10-12 Listed $15,500 REALCOMP