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1029 Kellogg Ave Duplex
B Composite 70.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

1029 Kellogg Ave · Utica, NY 13502
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,350 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1920 3,793 sqft lot Est $174k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

West Utica two family looking for a new owner - come check out this 2 unit with all separate utilities except for water. Landlord owned appliance are currently installed in each unit as well as washer and dryer in the basement. Second floor is fully rented and first floor is ready for you or your new tenant. In addition to beautiful hardwoods some updates include first floor bath, replacement windows and first floor furnace is less than 5 years old. Located close to Utica College and all the amenities of Yorkville and Whitestown just to the west.

Key facts

  • 3,793 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expenses include insurance and maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story residential building; Residential 2-unit zoning
  • Construction: Brick, block, concrete and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Partial fence; Fenced (partial); See remarks

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Accessible doors; Programmable thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $727/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $169k).
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,202/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1604% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $169k implies a 363% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
16.62%
Cash-on-cash
36.88%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1200 Churchill Ave 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,304 (-2%) 15mo $174,900 $76 75
1911 Noyes St 0.24mi 6/2.0 2,288 (-3%) 12mo $199,800 $87 74
1206 Mathews Ave 0.19mi 6/2.0 2,500 (+6%) 8mo $185,000 $74 74
2116 Highland Ave 0.13mi 6/3.0 2,300 (-2%) 15mo $215,000 $93 74
1217 York St 0.52mi 6/2.0 2,350 (0%) 10mo $170,000 $72 68
922 Mathews Ave #920 0.18mi 6/2.0 2,110 (-10%) 11mo $195,000 $92 65
1211 York St 0.52mi 6/2.0 2,444 (+4%) 6mo $211,000 $86 64
1109 York St 0.54mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,406 (+2%) 5mo $118,000 $49 62
1218 City St 0.65mi 6/2.0 2,288 (-3%) 10mo $90,000 $39 57
1511 Whitesboro St 0.40mi 6/3.0 2,666 (+13%) 6mo $105,000 $39 50
935 Lenox Ave 0.72mi 6/2.0 2,180 (-7%) 12mo $130,000 $60 44
15 Dewitt St 0.74mi 6/2.0 2,618 (+11%) 16mo $85,000 $32 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$65,224
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$176,021
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13502

Home prices YoY
-12.1%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,202 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$672
Net cashflow
$1,454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,361
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 50%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 552-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $169,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,425 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,140 · $178/mo
Expected delta
+$716/yr (+$60/mo · 50.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,424
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,074
− Management
−$3,074
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$15,623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,750
After-tax cash flow
$13,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
34,037
Household income
$57,835
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
1604.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.76%
Current HPI
368.3955
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+322.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $169,000 CNYIS
  • 2009-03-18 Listed $74,900 CNYIS
  • 2002-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
  • 1995-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,425 · -33.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…