Triplex
312 S 2nd Ave · Mount Vernon, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see.
Key facts
- Manicured yard
- Off-street parking
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $699k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
- Mount Vernon School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,520/mo this rent would consume 228% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2963% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $225k; list at $699k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.99%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 & 408 S 3rd Ave | 0.16mi | 11/3.0 (-1) | 3,920 | 19mo | $825,000 | $210 | 47 |
| 110 W 7th St | 0.59mi | 11/5.0 (-1) | 3,000 | 18mo | $985,000 | $328 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $120,045
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $418,863
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10550
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 15.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,558 /mo · $18,691/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,419
- Net cashflow
- $3,586
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,982 | -5% $3,784 | +0% $3,586 | +5% $3,388 | +10% $3,191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,676 | -5% $3,131 | +0% $3,586 | +5% $4,041 | +10% $4,496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,938 | -0.5pp $3,764 | base $3,586 | +0.5pp $3,405 | +1.0pp $3,221 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 2 | $11,520 |
| #1 | 4 | 2 | $3,840 |
| #2 | 4 | 2 | $3,840 |
| #3 | 4 | 2 | $3,840 |
| Total (3 units) | $11,520 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2025-12-26status Pending
-
2025-12-26price $699,000
-
2025-12-23$759,000 Active
-
2014-11-05soldstatus $225,000
-
2014-10-21price $225,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see.
-
2014-10-21soldstatus $225,000 Sold 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see.
-
2014-10-19soldstatus $225,000 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:3 Car Detached,
-
2014-09-19historical Pending 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see.
-
2014-09-19price $299,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see.
-
2014-07-18$299,000 Active 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:3 Car Detached,
-
2014-07-18$299,000 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
Four family with 3 car garage and long driveway. Live in one unit and let your tenants pay your mortgage. 1st Floor has one 1 BR apt and one 2 BR apt. 2nd floor has 3 bedrooms and 3rd floor has 1 bedroom. Full Basement unfinished. Perfect for Contractor to park his vehicles. A must see. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:3 Car Detached,
-
2008-12-27historical
-
2008-03-13
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $18,691 · $1,558/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,691 · $1,558/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $138,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$18,691
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,059
- − Management
- −$11,059
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable income
- $34,446
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,267
- After-tax cash flow
- $34,769/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Vernon School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620100
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,890
- Composite
- 36.59/100
- National rank
- #4631
- State rank
- #485 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #6876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 61,313
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,972
- Household income
- $60,701
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2963.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% White 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 2% Hispanic 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.69%
- Current HPI
- 191.5235
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.37%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+133.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-26 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Listed $759,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-21 Sold (MLS) $225,000 HGMLS
- 2014-10-21 Price Changed $225,000 HGMLS
- 2014-10-19 Sold (MLS) $225,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-19 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2014-09-19 Price Changed $299,000 HGMLS
- 2014-07-18 Listed $299,000 HGMLS
- 2014-07-18 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-27 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2008-03-13 Listed — HGMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $18,691 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…