🏷️ Likely Rental
1000 Wood St · Newcastle, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1000 Wood St -- a freshly remodeled 2-bed, 1-bath home with 1,060 sq ft on a spacious lot. Enjoy brand-new flooring, an updated kitchen, and a new pergola on the back deck -- all move-in ready. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income-producing rental, this turnkey property fits the bill. Previously tenant-occupied and ready to continue as an investment or be called home. ;; 307-941-0585 | Keller Williams Realty Black Hills
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 65 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (14.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (35.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $91k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#25 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, commute D, amenities F.
- Weston County School District #1 (town): math 46% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #23 of 41 in WY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weston County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.52%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,613
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -30.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 6th Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $170 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-30,089
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-35,927
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82701
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $908 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $-115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-36 | -5% $-76 | +0% $-115 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-187 | -5% $-151 | +0% $-115 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-43 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-45 | -0.5pp $-80 | base $-115 | +0.5pp $-151 | +1.0pp $-188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-14$140,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Welcome to 1000 Wood St -- a freshly remodeled 2-bed, 1-bath home with 1,060 sq ft on a spacious lot. Enjoy brand-new flooring, an updated kitchen, and a new pergola on the back deck -- all move-in ready. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income-producing rental, this turnkey property fits the bill. Previously tenant-occupied and ready to continue as an investment or be called home. ;; 307-941-0585 | Keller Williams Realty Black Hills
-
2024-03-04$65,000 Active
-
2022-12-15$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$376/yr (+$31/mo · 78.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,894
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$872
- − Management
- −$872
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$3,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$946
- After-tax cash flow
- $-436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weston County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5604830
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,016
- Composite
- 44.28/100
- National rank
- #2837
- State rank
- #23 of 41 in WY
Livability — Newcastle
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #25
- US rank
- #6532
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newcastle, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,411
Population outlook (Weston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,266 people
- By 2030
- 7,244 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 7,060 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 6,822 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 6,485 · -10.7%
- By 2100
- 5,512 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.0) · D 10.8% · R 87.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -77.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.0 2020: R+77.6 2016: R+78.1 2012: R+72.2 2008: R+57.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.16%
- Current HPI
- 150.2108
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+16.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $140,000 NEWRA
- 2024-03-04 Listed $65,000 NEWRA
- 2022-12-15 Listed $120,000 NEWRA
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · -22.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…