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208 W Avenue C Ave
D- Composite 37.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$168,000

208 W Avenue C Ave · McMillan, MI 49868
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,682 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1968 8,712 sqft lot Est $155k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely remodeled 5-bedroom home located in the Village of Newberry with convenient access to schools, shopping, and local amenities. The main level features 2 bedrooms, a remodeled bathroom, main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen with all new cabinetry and finishes. The upper level offers 3 additional bedrooms, including one unfinished room with new drywall already installed and potential for a future bathroom, office, or additional living space. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, anew furnace installed in the winter of 2024 that is equipped for central air, and replacement of the water main from the house to the street. The attached finished garage is insulated and heated with a newer natural gas heater, providing excellent year-round workspace or storage.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • New flooring
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

REMODELED HOMEUPDATED KITCHENNEW FLOORINGNEW FURNACEREPLACEMENT OF WATER MAINFINISHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted); Property type: Residential; Lot approx. 0.2 acres (frontage 60 ft); Located in the Village of Newberry

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer at street; Natural gas connected; 200+ amp electric service; Gas water heater; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential 2-story structure; Built in 1968; Basement present (full, unfinished)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed and garage outbuildings; Walkable to school, sidewalks nearby, in city limits; Road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom (13 x 11); Second bedroom on first floor (13 x 9); Third bedroom on second floor (approx. 14 wide); Fourth bedroom on second floor (11 x 11); Fifth bedroom on second floor (16 x 11); Master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Main floor full bathroom (total: 1)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Supplemental wood heat; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace with wood-burning insert; Sump pump; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Lower-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($901/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Tahquamenon Area Schools (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #374 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Luce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luce County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $77k; list at $168k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $137,076 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.92%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,744
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 W Ave B 0.17mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,734 (+3%) 18mo $170,000 $98 63
321 W McMillan Ave Ave 0.22mi 5/1.0 1,920 (+14%) 9mo $152,000 $79 59
114 W John St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,529 (-9%) 20mo $140,000 $92 39
518 E Mcmillan Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,547 (-8%) 23mo $90,000 $58 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-22,515
Equity at exit
$25,049
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-13,746
Equity at exit
$14,526

Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49868

Home prices YoY
-16.8%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$881
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $682/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,276
Max offer price $168,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $123 +0% $75 +5% $28 +10% $-20
Rent -10% $-33 -5% $21 +0% $75 +5% $129 +10% $183
Rate -1.0pp $160 -0.5pp $118 base $75 +0.5pp $32 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,000
Closing costs
$5,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $168,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $168,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $168,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $168,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $168,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $168,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $168,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $168,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $168,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $168,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $168,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $174,900 Active 793-char remark
    Show marketing remark (793 chars)

    Completely remodeled 5-bedroom home located in the Village of Newberry with convenient access to schools, shopping, and local amenities. The main level features 2 bedrooms, a remodeled bathroom, main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen with all new cabinetry and finishes. The upper level offers 3 additional bedrooms, including one unfinished room with new drywall already installed and potential for a future bathroom, office, or additional living space. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, anew furnace installed in the winter of 2024 that is equipped for central air, and replacement of the water main from the house to the street. The attached finished garage is insulated and heated with a newer natural gas heater, providing excellent year-round workspace or storage.

  19. 2026-05-18
    listed $174,900 Active 1309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1309 chars)

    Completely remodeled 5-bedroom home located in the Village of Newberry with convenient access to schools, shopping, and local amenities. The main level features 2 bedrooms, a remodeled bathroom, main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen with all new cabinetry and finishes. The upper level offers 3 additional bedrooms, including one unfinished room with new drywall already installed and potential for a future bathroom, office, or additional living space. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, a new furnace installed in the winter of 2024 that is equipped for central air, and replacement of the water main from the house to the street. The attached finished garage is insulated and heated with a newer natural gas heater, providing excellent year-round workspace or storage. An all-season sunroom off the kitchen includes a heat register for added comfort during the colder months. This move-in ready home offers plenty of space and many recent updates in a convenient in-town location in the heart of Michigan's Upper Peninsula. The Village of Newberry offers may day trips for tourist attractions including The Tahquamenon Falls, Oswald's Bear Ranch, located less than 30 minutes from Lake Michigan and Lake Superior with the Pine Stump Junction offering great snowmobile and ORV riding.

  20. 2026-05-18
    listed $174,900 Active 1309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1309 chars)

    Completely remodeled 5-bedroom home located in the Village of Newberry with convenient access to schools, shopping, and local amenities. The main level features 2 bedrooms, a remodeled bathroom, main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen with all new cabinetry and finishes. The upper level offers 3 additional bedrooms, including one unfinished room with new drywall already installed and potential for a future bathroom, office, or additional living space. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, a new furnace installed in the winter of 2024 that is equipped for central air, and replacement of the water main from the house to the street. The attached finished garage is insulated and heated with a newer natural gas heater, providing excellent year-round workspace or storage. An all-season sunroom off the kitchen includes a heat register for added comfort during the colder months. This move-in ready home offers plenty of space and many recent updates in a convenient in-town location in the heart of Michigan's Upper Peninsula. The Village of Newberry offers may day trips for tourist attractions including The Tahquamenon Falls, Oswald's Bear Ranch, located less than 30 minutes from Lake Michigan and Lake Superior with the Pine Stump Junction offering great snowmobile and ORV riding.

  21. 2022-05-16
    soldstatus $77,000
  22. 2022-05-16
    soldstatus $77,000
  23. 2021-11-08
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$682 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,634 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$953/yr (+$79/mo · 139.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,449
− Mortgage interest
−$9,411
− Property taxes
−$682
− Insurance
−$840
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,316
− Management
−$1,316
− Depreciation
−$4,887
Taxable loss
−$2,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$481
After-tax cash flow
$1,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tahquamenon Area Schools
NCES district ID
2625350
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,217
Composite
25.03/100
National rank
#7553
State rank
#374 of 540 in MI

Livability — McMillan

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Newberry, MI
Population (ZIP)
5,231

Population outlook (Luce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,185 people
By 2030
6,049 · -2.2%
By 2040
5,756 · -6.9%
By 2050
5,481 · -11.4%
By 2075
4,729 · -23.5%
By 2100
3,631 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Native American 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luce

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 25.8% · R 72.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+10.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.69%
Current HPI
132.0633
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $174,900 EUPBR
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $174,900 UPAR
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-16 Sold (MLS) $77,000 EUPBR
  • 2021-11-08 Listed $74,900 EUPBR

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2016): $682 · +23.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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