801 W Ward Ave #128 · Ridgecrest, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to comfortable, upgraded living in Santiago Ridgecrest Estates! This charming home offers a fresh, move-in-ready feel with fresh paint and new flooring throughout. The roof was replaced in October 2022, giving added peace of mind for years to come. Step inside to find vaulted ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, spacious atmosphere perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. In addition to the main living areas, the home features a versatile add-on room that can easily serve as a third bedroom, home office, or flexible space to fit your needs. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a covered carport and take advantage of the community amenities, including a clubhouse, in-ground swimming pool, and park-ideal for enjoying the Ridgecrest lifestyle. This home combines comfort, updates, and community. Don't miss your opportunity to make it yours!
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Upgraded living
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($151/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Ridgecrest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#243 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living D+.
- Sierra Sands Unified (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #294 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 3→8/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.90%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,500
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -31.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 W Ward Ave #128 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $65,500 | $45 | 88 |
| 740 W Reeves Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $66 | 77 |
| 821 W Reeves Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 10mo | $99,000 | $79 | 71 |
| 801 W Ward #75 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-10%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $66 | 70 |
| 1600 N Norma St #2 | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,349 (+0%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $85 | 56 |
| 717 W Bennett St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $109 | 52 |
| 1600 N Norma St #36 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,493 (+11%) | 10mo | $92,000 | $62 | 36 |
| 1600 N Norma St #35 | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $52 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-7,599
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-145
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93555
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$722
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $13
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1019 Scott St Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,400 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 533 W Ward Ave Unit C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1295 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 932 Kinnett Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,550 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1127 N Mono Ct Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 10d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 539 Sydnor Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1332 N El Prado St Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $950 | $1.08 | 10d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1311 N El Prado St Unit Elpr-1311 C-PK Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 637 W Perdew Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 423 Tepatitlan Ct Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 428 W Ward Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 625 W Perdew Ave Apt A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 418 Mount Baldy Cir Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 940 W Graaf Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 604 W Perdew Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,150 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 604 W Perdew Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 824 Capehart Ct Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 816 Capehart Ct Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1025 W Perdew Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 825 Capehart Ct Unit D Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1605 N Norma St Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1067 | $1,475 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1013 W Atkins Ave Unit C Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $975 | $1.07 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 228 Yellowstone Pl Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 201 Drummond Ave Unit 217 Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 201 W Drummond Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 201 Drummond Ave Unit 239 Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 401 N Norma St Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 332 N Alvord St Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 332 N Alvord St Unit 332 Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1128 Argus Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $11,800 | $8.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 225 N Helena St Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,750 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 419 Jean Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $1,585 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $722 · $8,664/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Welcome to comfortable, upgraded living in Santiago Ridgecrest Estates! This charming home offers a fresh, move-in-ready feel with fresh paint and new flooring throughout. The roof was replaced in October 2022, giving added peace of mind for years to come. Step inside to find vaulted ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, spacious atmosphere perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. In addition to the main living areas, the home features a versatile add-on room that can easily serve as a third bedroom, home office, or flexible space to fit your needs. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a covered carport and take advantage of the community amenities, including a clubhouse, in-ground swimming pool, and park-ideal for enjoying the Ridgecrest lifestyle. This home combines comfort, updates, and community. Don't miss your opportunity to make it yours!
-
2026-04-21$60,000 Active 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Welcome to comfortable, upgraded living in Santiago Ridgecrest Estates! This charming home offers a fresh, move-in-ready feel with fresh paint and new flooring throughout. The roof was replaced in October 2022, giving added peace of mind for years to come. Step inside to find vaulted ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, spacious atmosphere perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. In addition to the main living areas, the home features a versatile add-on room that can easily serve as a third bedroom, home office, or flexible space to fit your needs. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a covered carport and take advantage of the community amenities, including a clubhouse, in-ground swimming pool, and park-ideal for enjoying the Ridgecrest lifestyle. This home combines comfort, updates, and community. Don't miss your opportunity to make it yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥105°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,457
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − HOA
- −$8,664
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable loss
- −$306
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$74
- After-tax cash flow
- $225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sierra Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636800
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,937
- Composite
- 28.66/100
- National rank
- #6699
- State rank
- #294 of 517 in CA
Livability — Ridgecrest
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #8014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgecrest, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 33,845
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,845
- Household income
- $86,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 975.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.17%
- Current HPI
- 380.5208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — SSMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $60,000 SSMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $67 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…