2966 S Fm-2199 · Scottsville, TX 75672

$79,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1969 2.21 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This property presents a prime opportunity for investors or buyers eager for a project. The home features 4 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms and is situated on just over 2 acres (Survey will be needed). It will probably need a full overhaul; however, the slab appears to be in excellent condition and the bones of the home appear to be salvageable. (Buyer needs to look and determine for themselves. ) Located just south of I-20, this homes proximity to both Marshall and Shreveport, LA, offer the buyer opportunities for rental income or a buyer looking for a short commute to a major city for work. This is an investment opportunity!! Contact your favorite Realtor today to schedule a showing and see

Key facts

• Short commute
• Excellent condition
• Full overhaul

Tags

• FULL OVERHAUL
• EXCELLENT CONDITION
• RENTAL INCOME OPPORTUNITY
• SHORT COMMUTE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Rolling slope lot

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Gas water heater; 9 total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,109 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
• Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Marshall J H (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 1,105 students, 76% FRL).
• Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 34.74%
• DSCR: 2.55
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.27×
• Total profit: $28,052
• Equity at exit: $11,779

10-year hold

• IRR: 37.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.49×
• Total profit: $77,216
• Equity at exit: $6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75672

• Active inventory: 176
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,588 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$414
• Tax from tax record: −$167 /mo · $2,006/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$334
• Net cashflow: $640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $778

Max offer price $79,000

Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $685	-5% $663	+0% $640	+5% $618	+10% $596
Rent	-10% $515	-5% $578	+0% $640	+5% $703	+10% $766
Rate	-1.0pp $680	-0.5pp $660	base $640	+0.5pp $620	+1.0pp $599

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,750
• Closing costs: $2,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-23
   days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-19
   days on market $79,000 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-18
   days on market $79,000 Active 3 DOM
5. 2026-06-17
   days on market $79,000 Active 2 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   remarks 699-char remark
7. 2026-06-15
   listed $79,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,006 · $167/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,006 · $167/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,060
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,425
• − Property taxes: −$2,006
• − Insurance: −$395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,525
• − Management: −$1,525
• − Depreciation: −$2,298
• Taxable income: $6,886
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,653
• After-tax cash flow: $6,032/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marshall ISD
• NCES district ID: 4829160
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $40,095
• Composite: 24.43/100
• National rank: #7680
• State rank: #658 of 826 in TX

Livability — Scottsville

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #1109
• US rank: #19642

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 16,636

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 68,691 people
• By 2030: 69,317 · +0.9%
• By 2040: 69,973 · +1.9%
• By 2050: 70,090 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 70,607 · +2.8%
• By 2100: 67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -161.59%
• Current HPI: 140.8166
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Listed $79,000 LAAR
• 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,006 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.