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1433 Burnham Ave
D Composite 44.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$148,000

1433 Burnham Ave · Calumet City, IL 60409
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1955 5,941 sqft lot Est $153k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Short Sale!! Nice brick home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Features a spacious living room, eat-in kitchen, and generously-sized bedrooms. This home has a fenced in yard with detached 2 car garage. There is also room for an additional 3-4 cars to park on the side apron. Convenient location near schools, shopping, and transportation.

Key facts

  • 5,941 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 110; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Property currently not leased; Possession at closing or negotiable
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Side driveway; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces); Garage owned
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Asphalt roof; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Kitchen with wood laminate flooring
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Wood laminate flooring in kitchen and living room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in unit on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($283/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 8.3% in Calumet City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hoover Elem School (556 students, 0% FRL); Schrum Memorial School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Fractnl No High School (math 6% / reading 10%, grade F, #587 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,383 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $134,680 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.68%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,847
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1554 Burnham Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-5%) 2mo $125,000 $132 71
1382 Burnham Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,147 (+15%) 1mo $105,000 $92 66
17115 Park Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,030 (+3%) 2mo $179,999 $175 66
32 166th Pl 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+0%) 2mo $155,000 $155 65
1531 Lincoln Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,109 (+11%) 1mo $170,000 $153 60
1263 Mackinaw Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,102 (+10%) 1mo $175,900 $160 59
1261 Balmoral Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,055 (+6%) 2mo $172,000 $163 59
1394 Forest Pl 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,147 (+15%) 2mo $81,000 $71 58
17222 Roy St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-5%) 1mo $149,900 $159 52
116 163rd St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+13%) 1mo $61,500 $55 51
1374 Kenilworth Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,111 (+11%) 1mo $138,000 $124 51
43 162nd Pl 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,135 (+14%) 1mo $159,000 $140 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-16,967
Equity at exit
$22,067
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$11,248
Equity at exit
$12,796

Cash invested: $41,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,623 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$776
Tax from tax record
$421 /mo · $5,053/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,594
Max offer price $148,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $107 -5% $65 +0% $24 +5% $-18 +10% $-60
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-41 +0% $24 +5% $88 +10% $152
Rate -1.0pp $98 -0.5pp $61 base $24 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,000
Closing costs
$4,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,430 $1.79 26d 1 0.52mi
1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 14d 1 0.54mi
17104 Wentworth Ave Unit 4 Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 0d 1 0.70mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 22d 1 0.91mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 4d 1 0.91mi
3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 0d 1 0.92mi
3023 Bernice Rd Unit 3030 3N Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 0d 1 0.92mi
3007 Bernice Rd Unit 3007 1S Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 0d 1 0.93mi
3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,357 $1.40 26d 1 1.08mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 26d 1 1.20mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 18d 1 1.20mi
5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 14d 1 1.26mi
3 Ruth St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 26d 1 1.26mi
115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 26d 1 1.37mi
3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 0d 1 1.38mi
3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 26d 1 1.38mi
17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 0d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $148,000 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $148,000 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $148,000 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $148,000 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $148,000 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $148,000 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $148,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $148,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $148,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $148,000 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $148,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $148,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $148,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $148,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-03-03
    historical
  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $148,000 Active
  17. 2026-02-04
    price
  18. 2025-10-30
    listed Active
  19. 2025-10-30
    historical
  20. 2025-09-30
    price
  21. 2025-09-03
    historical
  22. 2025-09-01
    listed Active
  23. 2023-10-13
    soldstatus $118,000
  24. 2023-09-25
    soldstatus $118,000 Closed
  25. 2023-07-11
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  26. 2023-06-13
    listed $124,999 Active
  27. 2023-06-13
    historical
  28. 2023-03-28
    listed Active
  29. 2023-03-28
    historical
  30. 2023-03-02
    price
  31. 2023-02-21
    listed Active
  32. 2023-02-21
    historical
  33. 2023-02-08
    listed Active
  34. 2017-01-03
    historical
  35. 2016-09-23
    price
  36. 2016-08-12
    price
  37. 2016-07-07
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,053 · $421/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,053 · $421/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,481
− Mortgage interest
−$8,290
− Property taxes
−$5,053
− Insurance
−$740
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,558
− Management
−$1,558
− Depreciation
−$4,305
Taxable loss
−$2,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$486
After-tax cash flow
$769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $148,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-01 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-25 Sold (MLS) $118,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-11 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-13 Listed $124,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-28 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-02 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-21 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-08 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-12 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-07 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,053 · +74.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…