1433 Burnham Ave · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short Sale!! Nice brick home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Features a spacious living room, eat-in kitchen, and generously-sized bedrooms. This home has a fenced in yard with detached 2 car garage. There is also room for an additional 3-4 cars to park on the side apron. Convenient location near schools, shopping, and transportation.
Key facts
- 5,941 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 110; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Property currently not leased; Possession at closing or negotiable
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Side driveway; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces); Garage owned
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Asphalt roof; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Kitchen with wood laminate flooring
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Wood laminate flooring in kitchen and living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in unit on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($283/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 8.3% in Calumet City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hoover Elem School (556 students, 0% FRL); Schrum Memorial School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Fractnl No High School (math 6% / reading 10%, grade F, #587 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,383 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.68%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,847
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1554 Burnham Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (-5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $132 | 71 |
| 1382 Burnham Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,147 (+15%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $92 | 66 |
| 17115 Park Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (+3%) | 2mo | $179,999 | $175 | 66 |
| 32 166th Pl | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $155 | 65 |
| 1531 Lincoln Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (+11%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $153 | 60 |
| 1263 Mackinaw Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+10%) | 1mo | $175,900 | $160 | 59 |
| 1261 Balmoral Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,055 (+6%) | 2mo | $172,000 | $163 | 59 |
| 1394 Forest Pl | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,147 (+15%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $71 | 58 |
| 17222 Roy St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (-5%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $159 | 52 |
| 116 163rd St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+13%) | 1mo | $61,500 | $55 | 51 |
| 1374 Kenilworth Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,111 (+11%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 43 162nd Pl | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,135 (+14%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $140 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-16,967
- Equity at exit
- $22,067
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $11,248
- Equity at exit
- $12,796
Cash invested: $41,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$776
- Tax from tax record
- −$421 /mo · $5,053/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $65 | +0% $24 | +5% $-18 | +10% $-60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-105 | -5% $-41 | +0% $24 | +5% $88 | +10% $152 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $98 | -0.5pp $61 | base $24 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,000
- Closing costs
- $4,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,430 | $1.79 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 17104 Wentworth Ave Unit 4 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Unit 3030 3N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3007 Bernice Rd Unit 3007 1S Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,357 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3 Ruth St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 26d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 26d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $148,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $148,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $148,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $148,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $148,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $148,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $148,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $148,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $148,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $148,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $148,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2026-03-03$148,000 Active
-
2026-02-04price
-
2025-10-30Active
-
2025-10-30historical
-
2025-09-30price
-
2025-09-03historical
-
2025-09-01Active
-
2023-10-13soldstatus $118,000
-
2023-09-25soldstatus $118,000 Closed
-
2023-07-11historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2023-06-13$124,999 Active
-
2023-06-13historical
-
2023-03-28Active
-
2023-03-28historical
-
2023-03-02price
-
2023-02-21Active
-
2023-02-21historical
-
2023-02-08Active
-
2017-01-03historical
-
2016-09-23price
-
2016-08-12price
-
2016-07-07New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,053 · $421/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,053 · $421/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,290
- − Property taxes
- −$5,053
- − Insurance
- −$740
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − Depreciation
- −$4,305
- Taxable loss
- −$2,025
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$486
- After-tax cash flow
- $769/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+18.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $148,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-01 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-25 Sold (MLS) $118,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-13 Listed $124,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-28 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-02 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-21 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-08 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-23 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-12 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2023): $5,053 · +74.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…