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5600 S Country Club Rd #40
B- Composite 68.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,500

5600 S Country Club Rd #40 · Tucson, AZ 85706
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 51 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $56/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, a playground, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Basketball court
  • Playground

Tags

BASKETBALL COURTPLAYGROUNDCLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Sunnyside Unified District (4407) (urban): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #233 of 249 in AZ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 113 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,445 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.11%
Cash-on-cash
45.79%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$187,787
List price
$68,500
Delta
-63.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3348 E Holladay St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-13%) 4mo $240,000 $227 54
3048 E Acacia Club Ln 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 8mo $195,000 $174 46
2602 E Walnut St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (+1%) 22mo $780,000 $633 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$31,444
Equity at exit
$10,214
10-year hold
IRR
44.9%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$71,596
Equity at exit
$5,923

Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85706

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,526 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$359
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,028/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$732

Break-even live

Break-even rent $599
Max offer price $68,500
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $779 -5% $756 +0% $732 +5% $708 +10% $685
Rent -10% $611 -5% $672 +0% $732 +5% $792 +10% $852
Rate -1.0pp $766 -0.5pp $749 base $732 +0.5pp $714 +1.0pp $696

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,125
Closing costs
$2,055
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3074 E Via Genovesa Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 947 $1,560 $1.65 4d 1 0.15mi
5515 S Forgeus Ave Tucson, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 742 $1,415 $1.91 2d 37 0.38mi
2755 E Liverpool Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,595 $1.23 15d 1 0.43mi
5405 S Masterson Ave #1 Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,600 $1.49 3d 1 0.52mi
5405 S Masterson Ave Unit 2 Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,600 $1.49 2d 1 0.52mi
2145 E Calle Gran Desierto Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1043 $1,495 $1.43 2d 1 0.75mi
2602 E Walnut St Unit 9 Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,300 $1.06 44d 1 0.76mi
2602 E Walnut St Unit 1 Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 890 $1,095 $1.23 24d 1 0.76mi
6016 S Avenida Ribero Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1024 $1,400 $1.37 24d 1 0.82mi
6047 S Avenida Las Monjas Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1180 $1,550 $1.31 4d 1 0.84mi
5000 S Country Club Rd Tucson, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0 637 $1,120 $1.76 4d 16 0.87mi
6046 S Avenida Talca Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 969 $1,495 $1.54 44d 1 0.99mi
1711 E Canada St Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1183 $1,800 $1.52 15d 1 1.05mi
6272 Spruce Goose Ave Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 1015 $1,675 $1.65 22d 1 1.06mi
5918 S Del Moral Blvd Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,500 $1.34 22d 1 1.22mi
1360 E Drexel Rd Unit CH1360-402 Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 750 $1,025 $1.37 44d 1 1.30mi
1360 E Drexel Rd Unit CH1360-404 Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 750 $1,025 $1.37 24d 1 1.30mi
6280 S Campbell Ave Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,425 $1.36 3d 1 1.32mi
6280 S Campbell Ave Tucson, AZ 3.0–4.0 2.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 21d 7 1.32mi
6280 S Campbell Ave Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 15d 1 1.32mi
5625 S Irving Dr Tucson, AZ 4.0 2.0 1322 $1,900 $1.44 44d 1 1.33mi
4069 E Market St Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1331 $1,875 $1.41 24d 1 1.35mi
1301 E Drexel Rd Unit CH1301-103 Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 800 $1,499 $1.87 4d 1 1.38mi
4167 E Market St Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1114 $2,100 $1.89 44d 1 1.48mi
4184 E Market St Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,605 $1.59 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,500 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,500 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $68,500 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-04-13
    listed $68,000 Active 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, a playground, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,308
− Mortgage interest
−$3,837
− Property taxes
−$1,028
− Insurance
−$342
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,465
− Management
−$1,465
− Depreciation
−$1,993
Taxable income
$8,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,963
After-tax cash flow
$6,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior and replacing the ceiling fan would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sunnyside Unified District (4407)
NCES district ID
0408170
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$34,365
Composite
9.76/100
National rank
#9827
State rank
#233 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Tucson

Score
74/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#4502

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tucson, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,012,107 people
City population
839,336
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
54,236
Household income
$50,248
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1926.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 36% White 10% Native American 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 79%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
37% English-only · Spanish 62%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.59%
Current HPI
376.8462
Rent YoY
▲ 0.26%
Metro
Tucson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $68,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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