5600 S Country Club Rd #40 · Tucson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, a playground, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Basketball court
- Playground
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Sunnyside Unified District (4407) (urban): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #233 of 249 in AZ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 113 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.79%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,787
- List price
- $68,500
- Delta
- -63.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3348 E Holladay St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $227 | 54 |
| 3048 E Acacia Club Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $174 | 46 |
| 2602 E Walnut St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+1%) | 22mo | $780,000 | $633 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $31,444
- Equity at exit
- $10,214
- IRR
- 44.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $71,596
- Equity at exit
- $5,923
Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85706
- Home prices YoY
- -14.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,526 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$359
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $732
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $779 | -5% $756 | +0% $732 | +5% $708 | +10% $685 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $611 | -5% $672 | +0% $732 | +5% $792 | +10% $852 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $766 | -0.5pp $749 | base $732 | +0.5pp $714 | +1.0pp $696 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,125
- Closing costs
- $2,055
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3074 E Via Genovesa Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $1,560 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5515 S Forgeus Ave Tucson, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 742 | $1,415 | $1.91 | 2d | 37 | 0.38mi |
| 2755 E Liverpool Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5405 S Masterson Ave #1 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5405 S Masterson Ave Unit 2 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2145 E Calle Gran Desierto Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,495 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2602 E Walnut St Unit 9 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2602 E Walnut St Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,095 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6016 S Avenida Ribero Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6047 S Avenida Las Monjas Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5000 S Country Club Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,120 | $1.76 | 4d | 16 | 0.87mi |
| 6046 S Avenida Talca Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 969 | $1,495 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1711 E Canada St Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,800 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6272 Spruce Goose Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,675 | $1.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5918 S Del Moral Blvd Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1360 E Drexel Rd Unit CH1360-402 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1360 E Drexel Rd Unit CH1360-404 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6280 S Campbell Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,425 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6280 S Campbell Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 21d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 6280 S Campbell Ave Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5625 S Irving Dr Tucson, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4069 E Market St Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $1,875 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1301 E Drexel Rd Unit CH1301-103 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,499 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4167 E Market St Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4184 E Market St Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,605 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $68,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$68,000 Active 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, a playground, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,028
- − Insurance
- −$342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − Depreciation
- −$1,993
- Taxable income
- $8,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,963
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior and replacing the ceiling fan would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Replace ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sunnyside Unified District (4407)
- NCES district ID
- 0408170
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,365
- Composite
- 9.76/100
- National rank
- #9827
- State rank
- #233 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Tucson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tucson, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 839,336
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,236
- Household income
- $50,248
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1926.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 36% White 10% Native American 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 79%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 37% English-only · Spanish 62%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.59%
- Current HPI
- 376.8462
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.26%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $68,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…