1015 Angel St · Nevada, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$249,656
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fix dinner at the Greenville's sprawling kitchen island without missing any of the action in the family room. White cabinets with speckled white granite countertops, light tan EVP flooring with dark beige textured carpet.
Key facts
- White cabinets
- Washer dryer fridge
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (7.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.0% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#881 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: John & Barbara Roderick El (678 students, 52% FRL); Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 485 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 33d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.29%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,548
- List price
- $249,656
- Delta
- 13.79%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 Centerline Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-2%) | 3mo | $309,990 | $191 | 67 |
| 817 Lexington | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (-1%) | 13mo | $255,990 | $156 | 58 |
| 806 Lexington | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,589 (-4%) | 13mo | $261,990 | $165 | 52 |
| 828 Lexington Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,589 (-4%) | 16mo | $270,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 835 Lexington | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,721 (+4%) | 18mo | $305,990 | $178 | 48 |
| 904 Lexington Ln | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,721 (+4%) | 20mo | $289,990 | $169 | 46 |
| 913 W Cook St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (-8%) | 9mo | $525,000 | $344 | 45 |
| 806 Independence | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-14%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $173 | 41 |
| 900 Lexington Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,827 (+10%) | 18mo | $254,990 | $140 | 36 |
| 808 Lexington | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-14%) | 16mo | $286,500 | $202 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $127,522
- Equity at exit
- $224,910
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.47×
- Total profit
- $382,346
- Equity at exit
- $485,027
Cash invested: $69,904 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 64 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 54.9 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $273,990 ($161/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 68 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75173
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 485
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,078 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,745/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $-134
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $39 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-134 | +5% $-220 | +10% $-306 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-298 | -5% $-216 | +0% $-134 | +5% $-52 | +10% $31 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-70 | base $-134 | +0.5pp $-198 | +1.0pp $-264 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,414
- Closing costs
- $7,490
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6135 FM 547 Farmersville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $2,295 | $1.30 | 73d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 503 Hawthorn Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 503 Hawthorn Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 414 Main St Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 209 N Greenville St Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 38d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 716 Mallard Dr Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2119 | $2,300 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 464 N Greenville St Farmersville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 319 Plum Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,899 | $1.20 | 59d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 503 Northern Red Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $1,925 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 805 Martingale Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $2,300 | $1.19 | 38d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 504 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,799 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 504 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,949 | $1.18 | 64d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 503 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2077 | $2,190 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 306 E Cook St Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 42d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 819 Rustic Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 33d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Subdivision: Morgan FarmsDirections availableCounty: Collin
- Financial info
- Loan types accepted: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VATreat as clear loan typeNo second mortgage
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOA (Alamo Management)HOA covers grounds maintenance and management feesAnnual HOA fee
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerLow-flow fixtures for water conservationNot in a municipal utility district
- Home design
- Single family residenceOne storyResidential propertyNew construction (incomplete, 2026)Smart home features
- Construction
- Brick and rock/stone exteriorComposition roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Wood fencingCommunity poolPlaygroundPool
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas cooktopGas ovenMicrowaveDishwasherDisposalRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on main level (15 x 14)Bedroom on main level (14 x 13)Bedroom on main level (11 x 13)
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tileLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingHeat pumpENERGY STAR qualified equipment
- Interior features
- Cable TV availableHigh-speed internet availableOne living areaOne dining area5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer included
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $249,656 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $249,656 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $249,656 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $249,656 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $249,656 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-31pricedays on market $249,656 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-30pricedays on market $252,156 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $262,156 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $262,156 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $262,156 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $262,156 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $262,156 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $262,156 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-20pricedays on market $262,156 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $257,156 Active 47 DOM
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Fix dinner at the Greenville's sprawling kitchen island without missing any of the action in the family room. White cabinets with speckled white granite countertops, light tan EVP flooring with dark beige textured carpet.
-
2026-07-18days on market $257,156 Active 46 DOM
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Fix dinner at the Greenville's sprawling kitchen island without missing any of the action in the family room. White cabinets with speckled white granite countertops, light tan EVP flooring with dark beige textured carpet.
-
2026-07-16days on market $257,156 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $257,156 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $257,156 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $257,156 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $257,156 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $257,156 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $257,156 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $257,156 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-07pricedays on market $257,156 Active 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Fix dinner at the Greenville's sprawling kitchen island without missing any of the action in the family room. White cabinets with speckled white granite countertops, light tan EVP flooring with dark beige textured carpet.
-
2026-07-06days on market $267,156 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $267,156 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $267,156 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $267,156 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-02pricedays on market $267,156 Active 31 DOM
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Fix dinner at the Greenville's sprawling kitchen island without missing any of the action in the family room. White cabinets with speckled white granite countertops, light tan EVP flooring with dark beige textured carpet.
-
2026-07-01days on market $269,656 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $269,656 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $269,656 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $269,656 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $269,656 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $269,656 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $269,656 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $269,656 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $269,656 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $269,656 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $269,656 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $269,656 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $269,656 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $269,656 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $269,656 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $269,656 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,656 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $269,656 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $269,656 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $269,656 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,937
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,985
- − Property taxes
- −$3,745
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,995
- − Management
- −$1,995
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,263
- Taxable loss
- −$5,893
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,414
- After-tax cash flow
- $-189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 16 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a move-in-ready package, featuring a spacious kitchen, well-maintained exterior, and neutral interior decor. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
- Both Install new kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Nevada
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #881
- US rank
- #15880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin · 1,210,074 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,284
- Household income
- $100,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.09%
- Current HPI
- 331.12
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-2.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-20 Price Changed $262,156 NTREIS
- 2026-07-18 Price Changed $262,156 Zillow
- 2026-07-07 Price Changed $257,156 Zillow
- 2026-07-07 Price Changed $257,156 NTREIS
- 2026-07-02 Price Changed $267,156 Zillow
- 2026-07-02 Price Changed $267,156 NTREIS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $269,656 Zillow
- 2026-05-14 Listed $289,656 Zillow
- 2026-05-07 Listed $269,656 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…