1401 S Grand Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Opportunity with Endless Potential! This well-loved 3-bedroom, 1-bath home, built in 1924, is ready for its next chapter. Full of character and possibilities, this property offers a generous-sized eat-in kitchen with plenty of room for gathering, along with a main-level laundry area for added convenience. The spacious attic provides excellent potential for additional living space, whether you're dreaming of a home office, recreation room, or extra bedrooms. Includes a detached 2-car garage and a fenced backyard, perfect for pets, gardening, or outdoor enjoyment. This home is being offered as part of an estate sale and is sold as-is, making it an excellent opportunity for investors
Key facts
- 6,250 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1924
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Glenwood Leadership Academy (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 416 students, 88% FRL); New Tech Institute (math 34% / reading 74%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 275 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.05%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1025 Jefferson Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,453 (+4%) | 5mo | $113,000 | $78 | 78 |
| 1101 Ravenswood Dr | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,269 (-9%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $122 | 72 |
| 712 E Blackford Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,327 (-5%) | 1mo | $22,000 | $17 | 68 |
| 1414 Marshall Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,364 (-3%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $89 | 65 |
| 1558 Henning Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,508 (+8%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $43 | 61 |
| 1255 Maple Ct | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 1,450 (+4%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $110 | 59 |
| 1563 Marshall Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,338 (-4%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 1045 Bayard Park Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 1862 Marshall Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,302 (-7%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $50 | 48 |
| 868 Bellemeade Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,232 (-12%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $122 | 42 |
| 600 E Chandler Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (+9%) | 3mo | $51,000 | $33 | 42 |
| 1903 S Kerth Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-13%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $124 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,954
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $65,029
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47713
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $596/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $384 | -5% $356 | +0% $328 | +5% $299 | +10% $271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $233 | -5% $281 | +0% $328 | +5% $375 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $378 | -0.5pp $353 | base $328 | +0.5pp $302 | +1.0pp $275 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 827 Judson St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,455 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $955 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $895 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,035 | $0.90 | 23d | 8 | 1.20mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1762 Spring Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 23d | 6 | 1.37mi |
| 315 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1331 | $1,695 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $2,449 | $2.64 | 23d | 4 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$100,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $596 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$127/yr (+$11/mo · 21.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,331
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$596
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$584
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,988
- Household income
- $40,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 735.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.22%
- Current HPI
- 229.9312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.87%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2026-06-11 Listed $100,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $596 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…