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3621 Hawthorne St
B Composite 70.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$52,000

3621 Hawthorne St · Village of Clarkston, MI 48348
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market
Built 2019 $920/mo HOA · 48% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautiful 2019-built, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home located in the highly desirable Sashabaw Meadows community! Offering modern finishes and a move-in ready interior, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience. Step inside to an open-concept floor plan where the spacious kitchen flows seamlessly into the living room, creating the perfect space for entertaining or everyday living. The kitchen features newer appliances, ample cabinet space, and modern finishes that complement the home's contemporary design. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a dedicated first-floor laundry room conveniently located just off the kitchen. All three bedrooms are gene

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Private bath
  • Storage shed

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETSPRIVATE BATHSTORAGE SHEDFITNESS CENTERPICNIC AND BARBECUE AREAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $52k).
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.3% in Village of Clarkston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#98 in MI, #2,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Brandon School District In The Counties Of Oakland And Lapee (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #152 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Oakwood Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #433 of 1,397 statewide, top 34%, 442 students, 48% FRL); Brandon Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #202 of 493 statewide, top 42%, 411 students, 46% FRL); Brandon High School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #187 of 713 statewide, top 29%, 733 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
Recommended offer $52,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.68%
Cap rate
11.68%
Cash-on-cash
19.24%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$7,033
Equity at exit
$7,753
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$27,679
Equity at exit
$4,496

Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48348

Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,915 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$273
Tax est. 1.5%
$65 /mo · $780/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$920
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,619
Max offer price $52,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $269 -5% $251 +0% $233 +5% $215 +10% $197
Rent -10% $82 -5% $158 +0% $233 +5% $309 +10% $385
Rate -1.0pp $260 -0.5pp $247 base $233 +0.5pp $220 +1.0pp $206

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,000
Closing costs
$1,560
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4000 Brookside Rd Clarkston, MI 2.0 2.0 1672 $3,032 $1.81 0d 1 0.35mi
3618 Juniper St Unit 795 Village of Clarkston, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,399 $1.32 0d 1 0.36mi
3628 Birch St Unit 837 Village of Clarkston, MI 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,379 $1.31 3d 1 0.37mi
3684 Willow Ct Unit 747 Village of Clarkston, MI 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,329 $1.09 0d 1 0.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$920 · $11,040/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $52,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $52,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $52,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $52,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    listing id $52,000 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on marketlisting id $52,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,978
− Mortgage interest
−$2,913
− Property taxes
−$780
− Insurance
−$260
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− HOA
−$11,040
− Depreciation
−$1,513
Taxable income
$2,796
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$671
After-tax cash flow
$2,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brandon School District In The Counties Of Oakland And Lapee
NCES district ID
2606570
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$73,593
Composite
37.94/100
National rank
#4306
State rank
#152 of 540 in MI

Livability — Village of Clarkston

Score
79/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#2255

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,574
Household income
$129,410
Rent vs Own
8.1% rent · 91.9% own
Severe rent burden
212.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.65%
Current HPI
196.4302
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…