174 Sanders Dr · Swansboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HUGE price Improvement! sellers are also offering $5,000 towards closing cost ! Welcome to 174 Sander Drive a well-maintained home offering a practical layout and comfortable living in a convenient Hubert location, enhanced by the addition of solar panels. The home is serviced by a 3-bedroom, 2-bath septic system and includes a permitted bedroom count accordingly. In addition, 4th room/ a bonus room that may serve a variety of uses such as an office, flex space, or playroom. The interior features a functional floor plan with a spacious main living area that connects seamlessly to the dining and kitchen spaces, supporting both everyday living and casual gatherings. The kitchen provide
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Bonus room
- Private bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-site concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; Entry level on main
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built on crawl space
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Full wood fencing around back yard; Shed(s); Has view; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Master on main
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Master bedroom located on the main level; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.5% in Swansboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in NC, #3,124 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Swansboro Elementary (math 65% / reading 60%, grade B, #174 of 1,410 statewide, top 13%, 668 students, 34% FRL); Swansboro Middle (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C+, #87 of 475 statewide, top 19%, 967 students, 43% FRL); Swansboro High (math 77% / reading 68%, grade B+, #104 of 535 statewide, top 19%, 1,115 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Onslow County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $147k; list at $225k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.71%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $324,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273 Inverness Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,771 (-2%) | 2mo | $326,625 | $184 | 72 |
| 305 Inverness Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,897 (+5%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $166 | 64 |
| 616 Parsley Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,715 (-5%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $169 | 63 |
| 307 Basil Ct | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,695 (-6%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $180 | 62 |
| 513 Aberdineshire Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,042 (+13%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 306 Basil Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-8%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $182 | 59 |
| 625 Parsley Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,589 (-12%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $195 | 54 |
| 312 Holbrook Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,691 (-6%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 339 Inverness Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,022 (+12%) | 8mo | $319,000 | $158 | 47 |
| 500 Perth Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,923 (+7%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $172 | 46 |
| 411 Foxtrace Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (-14%) | 1mo | $247,509 | $160 | 40 |
| 426 Elgin Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,673 (-7%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $185 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-28,237
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-16,312
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28539
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,937 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,370/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $206 | +0% $142 | +5% $78 | +10% $15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-11 | -5% $66 | +0% $142 | +5% $219 | +10% $295 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $199 | base $142 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Crown Point Rd Hubert, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 309 N Winchester Ln Hubert, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 135 Rosemary Ave Hubert, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1610 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 400 Dayrell Dr Hubert, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 131 Heron Watch Dr Hubert, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2140 | $2,200 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 131 Heron Watch Dr Hubert, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2140 | $2,200 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $225,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $235,000
-
2026-03-20$241,900 Active
-
2026-01-21historical
-
2026-01-13historical
-
2026-01-12price $225,000
-
2025-06-21price $239,900
-
2025-05-02price $249,900
-
2025-04-06price $259,900
-
2025-01-21$269,900 Active
-
2025-01-21$269,900 Active
-
2025-01-21historical
-
2023-08-07historical
-
2023-07-13price $240,000
-
2023-06-26price $250,000
-
2023-06-20price $260,000
-
2023-06-17$245,000 Active
-
2020-05-20soldstatus $147,000
-
2020-05-20soldstatus $147,000
-
2019-11-21$151,900
-
2017-11-02historical
-
2017-06-21$169,500
-
2014-05-06soldstatus $8,000
-
2014-02-03$8,000
-
2013-09-30historical
-
2013-09-30historical
-
2012-11-13$12,000
-
2012-10-05$12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$475/yr (+$40/mo · 34.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$1,370
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,859
- − Management
- −$1,859
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$2,122
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — Swansboro
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #3124
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onslow County · 164,453 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,351
- Household income
- $66,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.68%
- Current HPI
- 186.871
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+1858.3% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $235,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $241,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $225,000 TMLS
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $239,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $249,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-04-06 Price Changed $259,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-01-21 Listed $269,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-01-21 Listed $269,900 TMLS
- 2025-01-21 Coming Soon — TMLS
- 2023-08-07 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2023-07-13 Price Changed $240,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-06-26 Price Changed $250,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-06-20 Price Changed $260,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-06-17 Listed $245,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-20 Sold (MLS) $147,000 Hive MLS
- 2019-11-21 Listed $151,900 Hive MLS
- 2017-11-02 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2017-06-21 Listed $169,500 Hive MLS
- 2014-05-06 Sold (MLS) $8,000 Hive MLS
- 2014-02-03 Listed $8,000 Hive MLS
- 2013-09-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2013-09-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2012-11-13 Listed $12,000 Hive MLS
- 2012-10-05 Listed $12,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,370 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…