4328 Molina Dr · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$44,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home located near local small park and stores. Just minutes from local restaurants. Home is being sold As Is, Where Is with faults and all. Call today for more information.
Key facts
- 6,600 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- West Oso ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #712 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($308 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.61%
- DSCR
- 4.32
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,650
- List price
- $44,500
- Delta
- -68.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4346 Barrera Dr | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+0%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $54 | 89 |
| 1725 Rockford Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-3%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $152 | 78 |
| 4313 Molina Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 904 (-11%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 4618 Ramona Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-8%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $128 | 62 |
| 1038 Golden Gate | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 948 (-7%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 4309 Elvira Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (+9%) | 23mo | $159,900 | $144 | 56 |
| 4634 Elvira Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+3%) | 17mo | $189,900 | $181 | 55 |
| 4305 Jose Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (+9%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $54 | 55 |
| 4549 Elvira Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 969 (-5%) | 18mo | $116,975 | $121 | 54 |
| 4122 Bascule Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,167 (+14%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $124 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $31,205
- Equity at exit
- $23,555
- IRR
- 40.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.15×
- Total profit
- $76,601
- Equity at exit
- $39,341
Cash invested: $12,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78416
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,473 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$233
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,645/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $348
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $361 | +0% $348 | +5% $336 | +10% $323 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $232 | -5% $290 | +0% $348 | +5% $406 | +10% $465 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $360 | base $348 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,125
- Closing costs
- $1,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4313 Molina Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1458 W Point Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $980 | $1.26 | 14d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 1837 Horne Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,500 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,500 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,500 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,500 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $44,500 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $44,500 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,500 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,500 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,500 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $44,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2025-12-17price $44,500 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Home located near local small park and stores. Just minutes from local restaurants. Home is being sold As Is, Where Is with faults and all. Call today for more information.
-
2025-08-05$52,000 Active 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Home located near local small park and stores. Just minutes from local restaurants. Home is being sold As Is, Where Is with faults and all. Call today for more information.
-
2023-12-20price $59,000
-
2023-12-17price $65,000
-
2023-12-13$69,950 Active
-
2016-03-15soldstatus
-
2007-10-16$28,900
-
2007-08-20$35,900
-
2005-01-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,645 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,645 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,493
- − Property taxes
- −$1,645
- − Insurance
- −$5,341
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,414
- − Management
- −$1,414
- − Depreciation
- −$1,295
- Taxable income
- $4,075
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$978
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Oso ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845120
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,193
- Composite
- 21.52/100
- National rank
- #8320
- State rank
- #712 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,480
- Household income
- $43,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 386.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 38% Black 16% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 49%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.38%
- Current HPI
- 139.6557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+24.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $44,500 CBMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $52,000 CBMLS
- 2023-12-20 Price Changed $59,000 CBMLS
- 2023-12-17 Price Changed $65,000 CBMLS
- 2023-12-13 Listed $69,950 CBMLS
- 2016-03-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-10-16 Listed $28,900 CBMLS
- 2007-08-20 Listed $35,900 CBMLS
- 2005-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,645 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…