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2311 Creston Ave Triplex
F Composite 34.37
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$1,150,000

2311 Creston Ave · New York, NY 10468
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,232 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1901 2,207 sqft lot Est $792k · 45% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great value for the savvy landlord. Rent'em up and collect the rents! The heart of the Bronx! Solid brick row-house 3-family! Sold As-Is; All Offers FAXED with pre-approval and/or proof of funds. Purchaser to execute Bank Addendums and pay NYS Transfer Tax ($4/$1,000).

Key facts

  • Utility access
  • Prime bronx location
  • Full basement

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYPRIME BRONX LOCATIONRECENTLY FULLY RENOVATEDFULL BASEMENTUTILITY ACCESSTURNKEY INVESTMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (Con-Edison); Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Public water; Public trash collection
  • Home design: Triplex
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Storage space; Full basement with storage space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-819 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-273/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.01M (12.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $764k (33.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $764k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,635/mo this rent would consume 198% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 9659% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $440k; list at $1.15M implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $763,500 (33.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.05%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$792,360
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2359 Valentine Ave 0.16mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,280 (+2%) 17mo $810,000 $355 70
61 W 184th St 0.30mi 5/4.0 (-1) 1,920 (-14%) 13mo $760,000 $396 43
2642 Decatur Ave 0.70mi 7/2.5 (+1) 2,226 (-0%) 21mo $730,000 $328 42
1945 Washington Ave 0.74mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,136 (-4%) 13mo $875,000 $410 39
2210 Cedar Ave 0.64mi 6/2.0 2,460 (+10%) 15mo $753,000 $306 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.5% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-29,371
Equity at exit
$363,181
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$218,173
Equity at exit
$460,649

Cash invested: $322,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10468

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
37.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,635 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,031
Tax from tax record
$341 /mo · $4,087/yr
Insurance
$479
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,603
Net cashflow
$-819

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,671
Max offer price $1,005,352
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-168 -5% $-493 +0% $-819 +5% $-1,144 +10% $-1,470
Rent -10% $-1,422 -5% $-1,120 +0% $-819 +5% $-517 +10% $-216
Rate -1.0pp $-240 -0.5pp $-526 base $-819 +0.5pp $-1,117 +1.0pp $-1,420

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $7,635

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$287,500
Closing costs
$34,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-05-09
    status Active
  14. 2026-05-09
    price $1,150,000
  15. 2026-03-25
    listed $1,175,000 Active
  16. 2024-07-19
    historical
  17. 2024-06-19
    listed $1,200,000 Active
  18. 2022-03-17
    soldstatus $440,000
  19. 2018-01-25
    soldstatus $190,000
  20. 2014-03-15
    price $175,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Great value for the savvy landlord. Rent'em up and collect the rents! The heart of the Bronx! Solid brick row-house 3-family! Sold As-Is; All Offers FAXED with pre-approval and/or proof of funds. Purchaser to execute Bank Addendums and pay NYS Transfer Tax ($4/$1,000).

  21. 2010-12-21
    historical 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Great value for the savvy landlord. Rent'em up and collect the rents! The heart of the Bronx! Solid brick row-house 3-family! Sold As-Is; All Offers FAXED with pre-approval and/or proof of funds. Purchaser to execute Bank Addendums and pay NYS Transfer Tax ($4/$1,000).

  22. 2010-12-20
    soldstatus $175,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Great value for the savvy landlord. Rent'em up and collect the rents! The heart of the Bronx! Solid brick row-house 3-family! Sold As-Is; All Offers FAXED with pre-approval and/or proof of funds. Purchaser to execute Bank Addendums and pay NYS Transfer Tax ($4/$1,000).

  23. 2010-10-28
    price $195,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Great value for the savvy landlord. Rent'em up and collect the rents! The heart of the Bronx! Solid brick row-house 3-family! Sold As-Is; All Offers FAXED with pre-approval and/or proof of funds. Purchaser to execute Bank Addendums and pay NYS Transfer Tax ($4/$1,000).

  24. 2010-09-02
    listed $195,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Great value for the savvy landlord. Rent'em up and collect the rents! The heart of the Bronx! Solid brick row-house 3-family! Sold As-Is; All Offers FAXED with pre-approval and/or proof of funds. Purchaser to execute Bank Addendums and pay NYS Transfer Tax ($4/$1,000).

  25. 2006-04-24
    soldstatus $360,000
  26. 2006-04-04
    soldstatus $450,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,087 · $341/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,761 · $980/mo
Expected delta
+$7,674/yr (+$640/mo · 187.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$91,620
− Mortgage interest
−$64,418
− Property taxes
−$4,087
− Insurance
−$5,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,330
− Management
−$7,330
− Depreciation
−$33,455
Taxable loss
−$30,749
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$7,380
After-tax cash flow
$-2,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
75,557
Household income
$46,233
Rent vs Own
91.5% rent · 8.5% own
Severe rent burden
9659.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Black 17% Two or more races 15% White 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 45%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
46% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 69% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.50%
Current HPI
249.8923
Rent YoY
▲ 6.70%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+155.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $1,175,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-19 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-19 Listed $1,200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2018-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-15 Price Changed $175,000 HGMLS
  • 2010-12-21 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2010-12-20 Sold (MLS) $175,000 HGMLS
  • 2010-10-28 Price Changed $195,000 HGMLS
  • 2010-09-02 Listed $195,000 HGMLS
  • 2006-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,087 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…