213 S Eads Ave · Paris, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2 Bedroom Home with Attached Garage in a convenient location is what you will find in this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1 bath home. This home offers comfort, convenience, and great curb appeal. Featuring a 1-car attached garage and a welcoming front porch, this property is perfect for those looking for easy, single-level living. Located just minutes from the hospital, schools, shopping, and local restaurants, this home provides quick access to everyday necessities while still offering a quiet residential feel. The exterior showcases a unique blend of brick and stone, adding character and durability. Inside, you’ll find a functional layout with a cozy atmosphere ready to make y
Key facts
- Attached garage
- 5,250 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by Martin Real Estate & Appraisals
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential zoning
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Rubber roof; Built as single-story
- Exterior features: Patio; Concrete road/access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 8.3% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#342 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paris-Union SD 95 (town): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #227 of 620 in IL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Edgar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Edgar County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $68k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.70%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,576
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 643 E Court St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,313 (+4%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $114 | 86 |
| 132 N High St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,230 (-2%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $63 | 82 |
| 902 Wabash Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $54 | 60 |
| 237 E Madison St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,145 (-9%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $61 | 59 |
| 502-504 E Jasper St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-0%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $292 | 59 |
| 40 Helen Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 | 1,392 (+11%) | 19mo | $148,000 | $106 | 59 |
| 705 Hannah Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+2%) | 11mo | $119,900 | $93 | 57 |
| 303 E Madison St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-4%) | 14mo | $76,000 | $63 | 53 |
| 627 Hannah Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,124 (-10%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 7 Woodhall Pl | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,164 (-7%) | 8mo | $136,000 | $117 | 43 |
| 320 E Jasper St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (-12%) | 1mo | $82,000 | $74 | 40 |
| 409 E Adams St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (-9%) | 11mo | $109,900 | $96 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $14,932
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $46,377
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61944
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $413/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-25price $68,000
-
2026-03-17price $74,000
-
2026-03-10price $77,900
-
2026-01-23$79,900 Active
-
1995-06-28soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $413 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $978 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$565/yr (+$47/mo · 136.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,563
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$413
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,005
- − Management
- −$1,005
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $4,013
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$963
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,929/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paris-Union SD 95
- NCES district ID
- 1730750
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,294
- Composite
- 27.73/100
- National rank
- #6901
- State rank
- #227 of 620 in IL
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #342
- US rank
- #6933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paris, IL
- City population
- 11,426
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,426
Population outlook (Edgar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,960 people
- By 2030
- 14,978 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 12,990 · -18.6%
- By 2050
- 11,087 · -30.5%
- By 2075
- 7,338 · -54.0%
- By 2100
- 4,526 · -71.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Edgar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.4) · D 23.0% · R 75.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -52.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.4 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+32.8 2008: R+7.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.48%
- Current HPI
- 108.1718
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+94.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — CIBR
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — CIBR
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $68,000 CIBR
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $74,000 CIBR
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $77,900 CIBR
- 2026-01-23 Listed $79,900 CIBR
- 1995-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $413 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…