27135 Trout Lake Rd · Coleraine, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country setting minutes to Grand Rapids. Includes Schultz 3 BR 2 bath mobile home built in 1996 with 2 detached garages and additional shed. There's a 13 x 20 unfinished cellar which houses the water softener and sump (which will need to bereplaced in the spring). Home is in good condition with A/C and 2 x 6 construction, drilled well. Sold As-Is
Key facts
- Outdoor storage
- Huge stone fire ring
- Partial basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage (24 x 26, 7' high door, 16' wide door)
- Utilities: Private well with 4-inch submersible/drilled well; Private sewer; 100 amp electric service (Lake Country Power); Propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One level; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; Asphalt roof; Foundation includes block and crawl space; partial basement; Foundation dimensions approximately 16 x 72
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck and porch; Storage shed; Medium tree coverage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with walk-through to primary bathroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Main floor full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: All living facilities on one level; Deck and porch; Kitchen/dining combined; Dishwasher
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall; Utility room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#552 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenway Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #196 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
- Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $125k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.98%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $75,171
- Equity at exit
- $102,392
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $206,428
- Equity at exit
- $210,771
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55709
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $348 | -5% $305 | +0% $262 | +5% $219 | +10% $175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $149 | -5% $206 | +0% $262 | +5% $318 | +10% $374 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $294 | base $262 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-10historical Contingent - Subject to Financing
-
2026-05-09$125,000 Active
-
2020-11-30soldstatus $65,000
-
2020-03-10soldstatus $60,100
-
2020-02-28soldstatus $60,100 Sold 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Country setting minutes to Grand Rapids. Includes Schultz 3 BR 2 bath mobile home built in 1996 with 2 detached garages and additional shed. There's a 13 x 20 unfinished cellar which houses the water softener and sump (which will need to bereplaced in the spring). Home is in good condition with A/C and 2 x 6 construction, drilled well. Sold As-Is
-
2020-02-14status Pending 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Country setting minutes to Grand Rapids. Includes Schultz 3 BR 2 bath mobile home built in 1996 with 2 detached garages and additional shed. There's a 13 x 20 unfinished cellar which houses the water softener and sump (which will need to bereplaced in the spring). Home is in good condition with A/C and 2 x 6 construction, drilled well. Sold As-Is
-
2020-01-01$75,000 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Country setting minutes to Grand Rapids. Includes Schultz 3 BR 2 bath mobile home built in 1996 with 2 detached garages and additional shed. There's a 13 x 20 unfinished cellar which houses the water softener and sump (which will need to bereplaced in the spring). Home is in good condition with A/C and 2 x 6 construction, drilled well. Sold As-Is
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$294
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenway Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2709480
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,178
- Composite
- 37.01/100
- National rank
- #4520
- State rank
- #196 of 301 in MN
Livability — Coleraine
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #552
- US rank
- #13276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,037
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,314
Population outlook (Itasca County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,885 people
- By 2030
- 45,890 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 45,171 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 43,946 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 40,950 · -10.8%
- By 2100
- 34,909 · -23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Itasca
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.2) · D 39.1% · R 59.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -20.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.2 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+16.5 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.86%
- Current HPI
- 270.88
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-10 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Listed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $60,100 Public Records
- 2020-02-28 Sold (MLS) $60,100 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-01 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $248 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…