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3036 Green St
D+ Composite 46.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

3036 Green St · Lincoln Park, MI 48146
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1953 5,663 sqft lot Est $162k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1953

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 29 x 136.63 (0.13 acres); No pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $143,438 (10.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.79%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,108
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1829 Alard Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,026 (0%) 0mo $206,000 $201 69
2071 Meyer Ct 0.51mi 3/1.5 999 (-3%) 2mo $190,000 $190 68
2121 Buckingham Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-1%) 4mo $159,900 $158 65
1415 Richmond Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,134 (+10%) 2mo $165,000 $146 64
1591 Garfield Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 0mo $144,700 $134 62
2359 Detroit Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 1mo $196,000 $181 59
1311 Gregory St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+10%) 1mo $145,900 $129 54
1377 Mill St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,124 (+10%) 2mo $157,000 $140 53
2366 Progress Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+9%) 3mo $145,000 $129 52
1765 Garfield Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 886 (-14%) 1mo $165,000 $186 45
1766 White Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 900 (-12%) 2mo $165,000 $183 43
1042 Champaign Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+12%) 3mo $150,500 $131 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-16,899
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,994
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48146

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,480/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $195 -5% $149 +0% $104 +5% $59 +10% $14
Rent -10% $-9 -5% $47 +0% $104 +5% $161 +10% $217
Rate -1.0pp $185 -0.5pp $145 base $104 +0.5pp $63 +1.0pp $21

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1343 Pagel Ave Unit 2-Upper Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 19d 1 0.52mi
2235 Moore Rd Unit 1 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 25d 1 0.62mi
9725 Fox Ave Allen Park, MI 3.0 1.5 940 $1,850 $1.97 44d 1 0.89mi
1552 Hanover St Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 25d 1 0.90mi
1760 Saint Johns Blvd Apt 14 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 25d 1 1.08mi
1750 Saint Johns Blvd Unit 17 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,025 $1.37 25d 1 1.09mi
1532 Euclid St #1 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 25d 1 1.16mi
1537 Chandler Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,100 $1.52 18d 1 1.24mi
4163 Burns Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 2d 1 1.26mi
11400 Fordline St Allen Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 0d 1 1.29mi
9814 Quandt Ave Allen Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,800 $1.71 44d 1 1.34mi
1524 Cicotte Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 15d 1 1.37mi
1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 25d 1 1.39mi
357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,695 $1.34 0d 1 1.43mi
9725 Ruth Allen Park, MI 3.0 1.5 1110 $1,800 $1.62 3d 1 1.47mi
854 Harrison Blvd Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1410 $1,750 $1.24 44d 1 1.48mi
1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,700 $1.27 0d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  2. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  3. 2026-05-12
    status Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  4. 2026-05-12
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  5. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  6. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  7. 2026-04-29
    listed $160,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

  8. 2026-04-29
    listed $160,000 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME. SOLD AS IS. EXCLUSIVE LISTING. OWNER OCCUPANT BIDS ONLY FOR THE FIRST 15 DAYS ON MARKET. INVESTORS CAN BID AFTER THIS DATE. SOLID BRICK RANCH WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHIOUT. FULL BASEMENT AND 1 CAR GARAGE. UPDATED KITCHEN. BUYER TO ORDER CITY INSPECTION AND FINAL WATER READING PRIOR TO CLOSNG WITH THE CITY OF LINCOLN PARK.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,480 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,972 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$492/yr (+$41/mo · 33.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,213
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,480
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,377
− Management
−$1,377
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$1,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$345
After-tax cash flow
$1,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Park School District
NCES district ID
2621600
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,486
Composite
19.93/100
National rank
#8678
State rank
#440 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lincoln Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1720

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
39,257
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,257
Household income
$58,616
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1142.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
222.8545
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,480 · -19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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