217 Chestnut St · Plentywood, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- New hot water heater
- Oversized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private, rectangular lot on a paved, city street (approx. 50' x 252', 0.29 acres); Public maintained road
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Driveway; Additional parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Masonite exterior; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built with concrete basement (interior entry, unfinished with storage space)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Storage shed(s); Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($654/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in MT, #3,371 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Plentywood K-12 Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #142 of 339 in MT (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Sheridan County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.36%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $20,078
- Equity at exit
- $49,515
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $60,998
- Equity at exit
- $80,449
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59254
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $864 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $816/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-05-17$99,000 Active
-
1999-03-19soldstatus
-
1995-07-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $816 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$816
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$830
- − Management
- −$830
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$1,022
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$245
- After-tax cash flow
- $900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plentywood K-12 Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3020960
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,145
- Composite
- 36.53/100
- National rank
- #9299
- State rank
- #142 of 339 in MT
Livability — Plentywood
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #3371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plentywood, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,845
Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,481 people
- By 2030
- 4,951 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 6,013 · +34.2%
- By 2050
- 7,266 · +62.2%
- By 2075
- 10,842 · +142.0%
- By 2100
- 13,272 · +196.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 13% Scottish 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.5) · D 26.6% · R 69.1% · Other 4.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.7pp · 2024: -42.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.5 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+1.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.88%
- Current HPI
- 177.4482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $99,000 GNMLS
- 1999-03-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-07-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $816 · -15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…