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217 Chestnut St
C- Composite 51.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

217 Chestnut St · Plentywood, MT 59254
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1915 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • New hot water heater
  • Oversized lot

Tags

QUIET RESIDENTIAL STREETOVERSIZED LOTMAIN FLOOR BEDROOMSUPDATED ELECTRICALNEW HOT WATER HEATERNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private, rectangular lot on a paved, city street (approx. 50' x 252', 0.29 acres); Public maintained road

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Driveway; Additional parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Masonite exterior; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built with concrete basement (interior entry, unfinished with storage space)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Storage shed(s); Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($654/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in MT, #3,371 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Plentywood K-12 Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #142 of 339 in MT (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Sheridan County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,447 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.36%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$20,078
Equity at exit
$49,515
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$60,998
Equity at exit
$80,449

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59254

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$864 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $816/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $795
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    listed $99,000 Active
  16. 1999-03-19
    soldstatus
  17. 1995-07-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$816 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$16/yr (+$1/mo · 1.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,374
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$816
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$830
− Management
−$830
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$1,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$245
After-tax cash flow
$900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plentywood K-12 Schools
NCES district ID
3020960
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,145
Composite
36.53/100
National rank
#9299
State rank
#142 of 339 in MT

Livability — Plentywood

Score
76/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#3371

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plentywood, MT
Population (ZIP)
1,845

Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,481 people
By 2030
4,951 · +10.5%
By 2040
6,013 · +34.2%
By 2050
7,266 · +62.2%
By 2075
10,842 · +142.0%
By 2100
13,272 · +196.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Scottish 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.5) · D 26.6% · R 69.1% · Other 4.3%
2008→2024 swing
-40.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.7pp · 2024: -42.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.5 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+1.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.88%
Current HPI
177.4482
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $99,000 GNMLS
  • 1999-03-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-07-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $816 · -15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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