248 Margaret Dr · Fayetteville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a water view of the lay lake for investors or buyers looking to add value. Featuring a functional layout with spacious living areas, this property is ready for your vision and updates. With a little TLC, it could be transformed into a great rental, flip, or primary residence. Home is being sold as-is and does not currently have an HVAC system. Don’t miss your chance to turn this property into something special!
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Water view
- 0.68 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 0.68 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Existing construction; Single-story (all main level rooms listed)
- Construction: Siding (other); Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Lake/water view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heat; No air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 1.1% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.57%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-11,282
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $739
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35044
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$135,000 Active 455-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$400
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Talladega County
- NCES district ID
- 0103180
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,715
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7650
- State rank
- #75 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #13423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,225
Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,905 people
- By 2030
- 77,160 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 72,937 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 68,279 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 57,884 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 47,220 · -40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 35% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Greek 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Talladega
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.76%
- Current HPI
- 160.56
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $120,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $135,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $157 · -11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…