9100 Bryants Landing Rd · Stockton, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS TAKE NOTE! With 2 lots, this home would make a great flip! Located near the boat launch at Bryants Landing, home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and TWO lots (lot behind home also available to purchase). No restrictions, bring your contractor! Home is being sold "as is. " Buyer to verify all information during due diligence. SELLER MOTIVATED!
Key facts
- Two lots
- No restrictions
- Boat launch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#173 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $832 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 97.35%
- DSCR
- 5.33
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,276
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -64.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55972 Turkey Bluff Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,098 (-12%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $137 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $89,101
- Equity at exit
- $21,700
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.04×
- Total profit
- $202,194
- Equity at exit
- $29,803
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36579
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $1,363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8153 Bryants Landing Rd Stockton, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,250 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 2 DOM
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2026-06-03pricedays on market $60,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-05-11price $45,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS TAKE NOTE! With 2 lots, this home would make a great flip! Located near the boat launch at Bryants Landing, home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and TWO lots (lot behind home also available to purchase). No restrictions, bring your contractor! Home is being sold "as is. " Buyer to verify all information during due diligence. SELLER MOTIVATED!
-
2026-03-09$49,900 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS TAKE NOTE! With 2 lots, this home would make a great flip! Located near the boat launch at Bryants Landing, home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and TWO lots (lot behind home also available to purchase). No restrictions, bring your contractor! Home is being sold "as is. " Buyer to verify all information during due diligence. SELLER MOTIVATED!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $16,374
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,930
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,425/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This property requires moderate renovations, including painting, updating the exterior, and HVAC upgrades, to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Weathered and in poor condition
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting and updating exterior — Fresh paint and landscaping would improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
- Both HVAC upgrade — Upgrading HVAC would improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting both buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Weathered and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting and updating exterior — Fresh paint and landscaping would improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
- Both HVAC upgrade — Upgrading HVAC would improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting both buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #14915
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,448
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.39%
- Current HPI
- 103.3956
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-9.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $45,000 BCAR
- 2026-03-09 Listed $49,900 BCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…