87-50 204 St Unit A68 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
Key facts
- Sizable kitchen
- Formal dining room
- Ample closet space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; Parking waitlist
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public trash collection; Water available
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Formal dining area; Entry level is 1
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.74%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-16,372
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $20,076
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11423
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,845 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $416
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8737 Marengo St #1 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,950 | $2.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8827 208th St Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,900 | $2.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 197-10 Foothill Ave Unit 1st floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,600 | $3.27 | 6d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 190-11 Hillside Ave Apt 202 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 190-11 Hillside Ave Unit 304 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 193-14 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,195 | $3.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 206-03 Jamaica Ave Unit 2ND Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $2,696 | $4.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 104-23 203rd St Unit 1 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,975 | $3.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 190-24 102nd Ave Unit First floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7364 196th St Fresh Meadows, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $5,500 | $5.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 214-83 Jamaica Ave Unit 2R Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,100 | $3.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 73-49 188th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 11141 202nd St Saint Albans, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,750 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Apt 806 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $3,400 | $3.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,700 | $3.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 603 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,300 | $4.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 502 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,270 | $2.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 802 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 17814 80th Dr Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $5,499 | $5.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 175-32 Devonshire Rd Unit 1st Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 175-32 Devonshire Rd Unit 1st Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 220-13 Jamaica Ave Queens Village, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-01-01$265,000 Active
-
2025-02-10status Active
-
2025-01-16status Pending
-
2024-12-07$259,000 Active
-
2018-07-24soldstatus $195,000 Closed 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
-
2018-06-26status Under Contract 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
-
2018-02-25$205,000 New 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,732
- − Management
- −$2,732
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $828
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,105
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.76)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 34% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Danish 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -490.74%
- Current HPI
- 273.0152
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+29.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-07 Listed $259,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-24 Sold (MLS) $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-26 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-25 Listed $205,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…