317 S Fourth Ave Unit A · Kure Beach, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$845,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just two blocks from the Atlantic Ocean in walkable Kure Beach, this beautifully designed new construction townhome offers low-maintenance coastal living with refined finishes throughout. Spanning three levels, this residence features 2,181 sq ft plus a 394 sq ft bonus/recreation room, totaling 2,575 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 3.5 baths, ideal as a primary residence, vacation home, or coastal retreat. Inside, the bright open floor plan showcases 9 foot ceilings on the second and third floors, luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, oak stair treads, craftsman-style trim, and thoughtfully selected finishes. The main living area is anchored by a coffered ceiling and wall-mounted electric firep
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Scullery prep pantry
- Tray ceiling
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Accessible elevator installed; Accessible full bath
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Concrete parking; Off-street parking; On-site parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Townhouse; Three or more levels; Entry level: 1; New construction
- Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction
- Exterior features: Outdoor shower; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Open lot; Paved road access; City street and state road frontage; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Vented exhaust fan; Electric water heater
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Fireplace(s); Electric heating; Forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Tray ceilings; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Elevator; Ceiling fans; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $845k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($157k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($24k rent vs $845k).
- Recommended offer: $744k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 2.1% in Kure Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#303 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Carolina Beach Elementary (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 431 students, 32% FRL); Charles P Murray Middle (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B, #54 of 475 statewide, top 12%, 882 students, 34% FRL); Eugene Ashley High (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,975 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $237k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($744k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.54%
- DSCR
- 3.96
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,277,200
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 Fort Fisher Blvd S Unit A | 0.32mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,479 (-4%) | 6mo | $2,375,000 | $958 | 67 |
| 301 Fort Fisher Blvd S Unit B | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,435 (-5%) | 6mo | $1,500,000 | $616 | 58 |
| 221 Atlantic Ave Unit A | 0.44mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,500 (-3%) | 10mo | $1,426,500 | $571 | 57 |
| 401 Fort Fisher Blvd S Unit A | 0.12mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,216 (-14%) | 12mo | $1,100,000 | $496 | 52 |
| 302 N 3rd Ave Unit A | 0.50mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,412 (-6%) | 19mo | $660,000 | $274 | 43 |
| 644 B S Fort Fisher Blvd Unit B | 0.40mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,904 (+13%) | 10mo | $740,000 | $255 | 40 |
| 321 Red Lewis Dr #15 | 0.64mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,242 (-13%) | 4mo | $931,000 | $415 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.95×
- Total profit
- $699,081
- Equity at exit
- $125,992
- IRR
- 70.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.13×
- Total profit
- $1,686,245
- Equity at exit
- $73,060
Cash invested: $236,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28449
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $24,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,431
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,056 /mo · $12,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$352
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$5,040
- Net cashflow
- $13,120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $211,250
- Closing costs
- $25,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1622 Swordfish Ln #1 Carolina Beach, NC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2476 | $24,000 | $9.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-31$845,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $288,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,333
- − Property taxes
- −$12,675
- − Insurance
- −$4,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$23,040
- − Management
- −$23,040
- − Depreciation
- −$24,582
- Taxable income
- $153,105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$36,745
- After-tax cash flow
- $120,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Hanover County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703330
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,406
- Composite
- 43.13/100
- National rank
- #3081
- State rank
- #61 of 178 in NC
Livability — Kure Beach
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #303
- US rank
- #12563
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kure Beach, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,017
Population outlook (New Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,517 people
- By 2030
- 279,586 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 318,223 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 354,831 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 437,158 · +68.5%
- By 2100
- 486,769 · +87.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+4.1 2012: R+4.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.31%
- Current HPI
- 246.571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listed $845,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…