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302 S Johnson St
D Composite 42.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

302 S Johnson St · Ada, OH 45810
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,264 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1930 7,500 sqft lot $73/sqft · at area comps Est $186k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for an affordable home in a charming college town? This 2-bedroom home in Ada offers plenty of potential and is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone ready to make a house their own. Home to Ohio Northern University, Ada is known for its small-town charm, quiet atmosphere, and strong community feel. onu.edu +2 This property features a nice yard, a detached garage, and solid potential throughout. While it could use some improvements and personal touches, it offers a great foundation at an attractive price point. Whether you're looking for a starter home, rental investment, or project property, this home is full of possibilities

Key facts

  • 7,500 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential income (multi-family)
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story multi-family residential income property; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 150; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Deck; Porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (29.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Ada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#119 in OH, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Ada Exempted Village (rural): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #190 of 656 in OH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ada Elementary School (math 69% / reading 71%, grade A-, #380 of 1,584 statewide, top 25%, 464 students, 0% FRL); Ada High School (math 60% / reading 69%, grade B-, #164 of 781 statewide, top 24%, 389 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hardin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,872 (29.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.63%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$186,250
List price
$165,000
Delta
-11.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 S Johnson St 0.06mi 4/2.0 2,381 (+5%) 14mo $310,000 $130 72
538 N Main St 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,264 (0%) 7mo $215,000 $95 66
202 E Montford Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 2,040 (-10%) 11mo $159,900 $78 54
351 W W Buckeye Ave 0.35mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,046 (-10%) 8mo $185,000 $90 52
327 W North Ave 0.62mi 4/1.5 2,060 (-9%) 3mo $163,900 $80 52
629 N Main St 0.66mi 4/2.0 2,432 (+7%) 3mo $195,900 $81 50
505 N Gilbert St 0.50mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,150 (-5%) 12mo $278,000 $129 49
425 Edwards St 0.42mi 4/1.5 1,948 (-14%) 11mo $125,500 $64 46
128 W North Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,944 (-14%) 3mo $186,000 $96 41
602 Conley Ave 0.63mi 4/3.0 2,568 (+13%) 3mo $315,000 $123 38
501 W North Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,087 (-8%) 14mo $257,500 $123 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-33,233
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-37,466
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45810

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $989/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$-101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,287
Max offer price $147,145
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-8 -5% $-54 +0% $-101 +5% $-148 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-193 -5% $-147 +0% $-101 +5% $-55 +10% $-10
Rate -1.0pp $-18 -0.5pp $-59 base $-101 +0.5pp $-144 +1.0pp $-187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $165,000 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $165,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Looking for an affordable home in a charming college town? This 2-bedroom home in Ada offers plenty of potential and is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone ready to make a house their own. Home to Ohio Northern University, Ada is known for its small-town charm, quiet atmosphere, and strong community feel. onu.edu +2 This property features a nice yard, a detached garage, and solid potential throughout. While it could use some improvements and personal touches, it offers a great foundation at an attractive price point. Whether you're looking for a starter home, rental investment, or project property, this home is full of possibilities

  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-05-14
    listed $165,000 Active 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Looking for an affordable home in a charming college town? This 2-bedroom home in Ada offers plenty of potential and is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone ready to make a house their own. Home to Ohio Northern University, Ada is known for its small-town charm, quiet atmosphere, and strong community feel. onu.edu +2 This property features a nice yard, a detached garage, and solid potential throughout. While it could use some improvements and personal touches, it offers a great foundation at an attractive price point. Whether you're looking for a starter home, rental investment, or project property, this home is full of possibilities

  10. 2026-05-12
    listed $165,000 Active 552-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$989 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,782 · $148/mo
Expected delta
+$792/yr (+$66/mo · 80.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,905
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$989
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,112
− Management
−$1,112
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$4,177
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,002
After-tax cash flow
$-210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ada Exempted Village
NCES district ID
3904518
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,321
Composite
56.55/100
National rank
#1149
State rank
#190 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ada

Score
80/100
State rank
#119
US rank
#1750

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ada, OH
County
Hardin · 33,287 people
Population (ZIP)
7,345
Household income
$59,065
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
13.9

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,000 people
By 2030
30,031 · -3.1%
By 2040
27,500 · -11.3%
By 2050
25,265 · -18.5%
By 2075
20,485 · -33.9%
By 2100
16,031 · -48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · China, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.2% · R 76.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.8pp toward R · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.0 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.51%
Current HPI
237.9299
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending WCARE
  • 2026-06-04 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $165,000 NORIS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $165,000 WCARE

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $989 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…