7748 E 21st St · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,034
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a desirable corner lot with spacious front and rear yards. This property features a brand-new roof and new PVC fencing, offering both durability and peace of mind. The large backyard is perfect for entertaining or enjoying family time, complete with a pool and plenty of space to relax and unwind. A 2-car garage adds convenience and storage. Ideally located close to everything Tulsa has to offer, this home combines comfort, functionality, and a great location. SOLD AS-IS
Key facts
- New pvc fencing
- Large backyard
- Great location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $134k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.22%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,652
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7748 E 21st St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (0%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $100 | 97 |
| 7715 E 21st Pl | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (-4%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $93 | 90 |
| 2176 S 77th EastAvenue | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,331 (-5%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $98 | 79 |
| 2132 S 76th EastPlace | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (-14%) | 2mo | $194,000 | $161 | 64 |
| 7712 E 22nd Pl | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,549 (+10%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $136 | 64 |
| 6915 E 18th St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (-3%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 7548 E 27th Pl | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (-3%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $160 | 57 |
| 1544 S 74th East Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (+8%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 6946 E 20th Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (+15%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 7521 E 27th St S | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,228 (-13%) | 3mo | $173,000 | $141 | 46 |
| 7416 E 15 St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,603 (+14%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $156 | 41 |
| 8543 E 24th Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+14%) | 8mo | $227,000 | $142 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,365
- Equity at exit
- $19,985
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $16,349
- Equity at exit
- $11,589
Cash invested: $37,530 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74129
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$703
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $257
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,508
- Closing costs
- $4,021
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7610 E 21st Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1136 | $1,695 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 7625 E 21st St Tulsa, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $1,075 | $1.39 | 16d | 6 | 0.21mi |
| 8323 E 24th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6621 E 19th St Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 16d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 1246 S Memorial Dr Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,080 | $1.10 | 23d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 9902 E 22nd Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,475 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5905 E 30th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2923 S Irvington Ave Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $1,750 | $0.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10124 E 22nd St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1645 S 101st East Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,899 | $1.87 | 2d | 35 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-23$134,034 Active
-
1996-10-17soldstatus $43,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,318 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,318 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,508
- − Property taxes
- −$1,318
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$3,899
- Taxable income
- $966
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$232
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- City population
- 389,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,764
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 17% Native American 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.31%
- Current HPI
- 247.8904
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+208.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-23 Listed $134,034 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1996-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,318 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…