103 S Belle Vista Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Peace , quiet. .. and very quiet neighbors! Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath all-brick cape cod that's got great bones, solid updates and just enough "character"to let your HGTV dreams run wild. Inside, the home is ready for a little cosmetic TLC - nothing a paint brush, some fresh flooring, and a weekend of motivation can't handle. Thank of it as your chance to build sweat equity without the scary stuff already done for you. The big-ticket items? Already handled! * Newer roof * Updated windows * Solid furnace and air conditioner * Updated electric box * Glass block windows Outside you'll fine a 2 car detached garage, plus a beautiful wood handicap-access r
Key facts
- Updated electric box
- Newer roof
- Updated windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with electricity and garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen with linoleum flooring (approx. 12 x 10.5)
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Second-floor bedrooms with carpeted floors (11 x 9 and 12 x 10); First-floor bedroom with wood floors (12 x 7)
- Flooring: Carpet in some bedrooms; Wood flooring in living room, dining room, and one bedroom; Linoleum in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (main level bathroom count listed as 1)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.9% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $88k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.36%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,084
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 S Belle Vis | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+3%) | 1mo | $53,900 | $48 | 83 |
| 110 S Maryland Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (+9%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $25 | 81 |
| 38 S Hartford Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+1%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $45 | 76 |
| 208 N Maryland Ave N | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $23 | 63 |
| 512 S Hazelwood Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (+3%) | 5mo | $129,527 | $115 | 62 |
| 70 S Glenellen Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+5%) | 2mo | $92,500 | $81 | 60 |
| 60 Steel St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+11%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 2617 Scheetz St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-8%) | 3mo | $63,000 | $63 | 54 |
| 26 Bouquet Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+10%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $77 | 46 |
| 728 Wilkinson Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (+10%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $141 | 45 |
| 433 N Hartford Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-13%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $131 | 41 |
| 255 Bouquet Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (+14%) | 4mo | $124,900 | $100 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $566
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $19,412
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44509
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $558/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $281 | -5% $257 | +0% $232 | +5% $207 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $155 | -5% $193 | +0% $232 | +5% $271 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $254 | base $232 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $186 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2634 Austin Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $775 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $850 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3143 Mahoning Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 913 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,080 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 911 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,080 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 546 Breaden St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,080 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-17status $87,500 Pending 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Contingent 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Contingent 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Contingent 110 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,500 Contingent 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $87,500 Contingent 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $87,500 Contingent 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Contingent 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Contingent 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,500 Contingent 102 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,500 Contingent 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,500 Contingent 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,500 Contingent 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Contingent 95 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $87,500 Contingent 94 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-05-11price $87,500
-
2026-04-27historical Contingent
-
2026-04-13price $88,500
-
2026-03-20price $99,500
-
2026-02-25$110,000 Active
-
1990-11-16soldstatus $36,500
-
1986-08-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $558 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $962 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$403/yr (+$34/mo · 72.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$558
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$940
- − Management
- −$940
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable income
- $1,430
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$343
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,439/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,775
- Household income
- $36,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.4
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.34%
- Current HPI
- 217.0797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+191.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $87,500 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $88,500 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $99,500 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-25 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW
- 1990-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
- 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $558 · -14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…