2205 Butterfield Rd #247 · Terrace Heights, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great family mobile home park. Many upgrades in this 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, quiet location in the park.
Key facts
- Private main bedroom
- Forced air heating
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Calculated building area: 1,104 (public record)
- Financial info: Accepts Cash and Conventional financing
- HOA & community: Manufactured home park approved for sale; Land lease: $925 per month
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Electric power
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Manufactured house (King 48/24T model); Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Metal roof; Tie down foundation
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Metal roof; Patio/porch/deck; Awnings
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric energy source
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Refrigerator; Stove/Range; Washer; Laminate flooring; Bath off primary; Patio/porch/deck; Awnings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 2.8% in Terrace Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#210 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- East Valley School District (Yakima) (suburban): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #76 of 291 in WA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Terrace Heights Elementary (473 students, 73% FRL); East Valley Central Middle School (801 students, 71% FRL); East Valley High School (1,036 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 45% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $65k implies a 319% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.42%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $261,648
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718 Horgan St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (-10%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $237 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $14,259
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $60,903
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98901
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.3%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $959 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $354 | -5% $332 | +0% $309 | +5% $287 | +10% $264 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $233 | -5% $271 | +0% $309 | +5% $347 | +10% $385 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $326 | base $309 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $275 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1205 E Spruce St Yakima, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $950 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20 S Fair Ave Unit 2 Yakima, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $850 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1017 E Spruce St Unit 1017 1/2 Yakima, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $825 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1618 E Beech St Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,140 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-07$69,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$921
- − Management
- −$921
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $2,847
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$683
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,027/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Valley School District (Yakima)
- NCES district ID
- 5305370
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,936
- Composite
- 51.46/100
- National rank
- #3682
- State rank
- #76 of 291 in WA
Livability — Terrace Heights
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #210
- US rank
- #5906
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terrace Heights, WA
- County
- Yakima County · 134,789 people
- Metro
- Yakima, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,366
- Household income
- $57,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1317.0
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 39% Two or more races 22% Native American 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 46%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.24%
- Current HPI
- 287.8283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.31%
- Metro
- Yakima, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+426.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $69,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) $15,500 YAMLS
- 2014-06-18 Listed $19,000 YAMLS
- 1993-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $13,100 Public Records
Property tax history
-11.7%/yrLatest (2026): $47 · -9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…