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153 Cedar Grove Loop
B+ Composite 78.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

153 Cedar Grove Loop · Copperas Cove, TX 76522
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · Manufactured · 48 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition $62/sqft · 27% below area Est $171k · 27% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

5-bedroom, 3-bathroom manufactured home at 153 Cedar Grove Loop, Copperas Cove, TX just minutes from Fort Hood and Killeen. Built in 2024, the residence features high-end finishes and an expansive open floor plan. Outdoor Living: Includes two large decks (front and back) and two concrete slabs, ideal for grilling, patio furniture, or bonfires. Modern Security: Comes equipped with a full home security system. Community Amenities: Active Lifestyle: Access to basketball courts, a commercial playground, and a fitness center. Swimming & Relaxation: Features a 25-meter junior Olympic swimming pool with racing lanes, a standard pool, and a children’s pool. Enjoy a serene two-acre lake

Key facts

  • Fishing dock
  • Modern security
  • Community amenities

Tags

OUTDOOR LIVINGMODERN SECURITYCOMMUNITY AMENITIESSWIMMING AND RELAXATIONTWO ACRE LAKEFISHING DOCK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association: Westwind Enterprises

Exterior

  • Utilities: Has heating and cooling
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2024
  • Construction: Shingle and wood roof; Construction materials listed as unknown
  • Exterior features: Lot with other/unspecified lot features; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing range
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms on the first floor (including a primary bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Seller disclosure available
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.4% in Copperas Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#706 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Copperas Cove ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #340 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 605 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.07%
Cash-on-cash
20.63%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,196
List price
$125,000
Delta
-26.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$12,656
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$39,468
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76522

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
605
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,855 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1237 Briscoe Ct Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.5 1788 $1,750 $0.98 23d 1 0.55mi
2107 Gail Dr Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,675 $0.95 23d 1 0.56mi
1806 Bryce Ct Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 1762 $1,700 $0.96 23d 1 0.78mi
2905 Markos Dr Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 1530 $1,650 $1.08 43d 1 0.82mi
2569 Merganser Dr Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 2032 $2,200 $1.08 43d 1 1.16mi
2032 Mallard Ct Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 3.0 1979 $1,895 $0.96 13d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-04-23
    listed $130,000 Active 899-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,261
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,781
− Management
−$1,781
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,335
After-tax cash flow
$5,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This 2024 manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and ample space. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Copperas Cove ISD
NCES district ID
4815240
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$51,072
Composite
35.85/100
National rank
#4822
State rank
#340 of 826 in TX

Livability — Copperas Cove

Score
65/100
State rank
#706
US rank
#13158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Copperas Cove, TX
County
Coryell County · 61,053 people
City population
42,118
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,118
Household income
$72,206
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (Coryell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,485 people
By 2030
75,627 · +0.2%
By 2040
74,898 · -0.8%
By 2050
74,221 · -1.7%
By 2075
72,688 · -3.7%
By 2100
66,862 · -11.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 20% Black 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coryell

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.11%
Current HPI
183.9452
Rent YoY
▼ -0.25%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-31 Price Changed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $130,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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