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611 Houston St Unit A
B+ Composite 76.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,999

611 Houston St Unit A · Atlanta, TX 75551
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 220 Days on market
Built 1940 0.26 ac lot $43/sqft · 40% below area Est $116k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

JUST LISTED! This single-story home 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in the 1940s, offers a practical layout and features a metal roof and wood exterior. It sits on a roughly QUARTER ACRE LOT, providing solid foundational choices for customization. Inside, basic utilities like central cooling are in place, and the home’s classic structure presents opportunity for updates. Located within the Atlanta, TX area, it offers EASY ACCESS TO HWY 59 and local schools and services, making it a suitable fit for both homeowners and investors. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Central cooling
  • Quarter acre lot

Tags

METAL ROOFWOOD EXTERIORQUARTER ACRE LOTCENTRAL COOLINGEASY ACCESS TO HWY 59

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#500 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Atlanta ISD (rural): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #402 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $70k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.31%
Cash-on-cash
28.64%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,193
List price
$69,999
Delta
-39.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
613 N Louise St 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (-11%) 18mo $189,900 $131 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$18,487
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
3.79×
Total profit
$54,622
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75551

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,483/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $658
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $507 -5% $488 +0% $468 +5% $448 +10% $428
Rent -10% $369 -5% $418 +0% $468 +5% $517 +10% $566
Rate -1.0pp $503 -0.5pp $486 base $468 +0.5pp $450 +1.0pp $431

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 Grandview Ave Atlanta, TX 3.0 1.0 1209 $1,250 $1.03 44d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,999 Active 220 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 218 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 217 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 216 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 215 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 213 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,999 Active 212 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 209 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 208 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 207 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 206 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 203 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 202 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 201 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 200 DOM
  16. 2025-11-12
    listed $69,999 Active 762-char remark
    Show marketing remark (762 chars)

    JUST LISTED! This single-story home 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in the 1940s, offers a practical layout and features a metal roof and wood exterior. It sits on a roughly QUARTER ACRE LOT, providing solid foundational choices for customization. Inside, basic utilities like central cooling are in place, and the home’s classic structure presents opportunity for updates. Located within the Atlanta, TX area, it offers EASY ACCESS TO HWY 59 and local schools and services, making it a suitable fit for both homeowners and investors. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

  17. 2024-10-31
    soldstatus $27,455

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,483 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,483 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,483
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$4,810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,154
After-tax cash flow
$4,458/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlanta ISD
NCES district ID
4808880
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,392
Composite
34.5/100
National rank
#5182
State rank
#402 of 826 in TX

Livability — Atlanta

Score
68/100
State rank
#500
US rank
#9952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atlanta, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,768

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,998 people
By 2030
29,583 · -1.4%
By 2040
28,512 · -5.0%
By 2050
27,230 · -9.2%
By 2075
24,917 · -16.9%
By 2100
21,582 · -28.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 17.0% · R 82.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.4pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.5 2008: R+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.80%
Current HPI
142.5195
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+155.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $69,999 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $27,455 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,483 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…