6515 Ashton St · Houston, TX 77091

$240,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market

Built 1968 7,501 sqft lot $138/sqft · 30% below area Est $343k · 30% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +10.5/30.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• DSCR +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

Key facts

• 7,501 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1968

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (9.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (20.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $191k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Harris El (math 13% / reading 14%, grade F, #4,138 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 486 students, 98% FRL); Hoffman Middle (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 637 students, 91% FRL); Aldine H S (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 2,663 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 79% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 680 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,906/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 3210% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 8 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 11063% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $190,628 (20.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.68%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.20%
• DSCR: 0.90
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $343,214
• List price: $240,000
• Delta: -30.07%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3514 Areba St	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,810 (+4%)	4mo	$230,000	$127	81
6024 Tc Jester Blvd	0.39mi	3/2.5	1,641 (-6%)	1mo	$309,700	$189	69
3422 Mansfield St	0.45mi	3/2.5	1,641 (-6%)	2mo	$324,700	$198	66
3418 Mansfield St	0.46mi	3/2.5	1,641 (-6%)	2mo	$319,700	$195	65
3416 Mansfield St	0.47mi	3/2.5	1,640 (-6%)	8mo	$339,700	$207	60
5823 Outer Banks St	0.66mi	3/2.5	1,790 (+3%)	5mo	$330,000	$184	58
2716 Garapan St	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,915 (+10%)	8mo	$398,000	$208	54
5622 Sheraton Oaks Dr	0.67mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,851 (+6%)	3mo	$200,000	$108	51
2929 Carmel St	0.38mi	3/2.0	2,000 (+15%)	9mo	$295,000	$148	50
2604 Areba St	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,529 (-12%)	2mo	$323,000	$211	50
5714 Balbo	0.70mi	3/3.5	1,821 (+4%)	11mo	$369,900	$203	45
2515 Garapan St	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,500 (-14%)	6mo	$259,400	$173	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.28×
• Total profit: $-48,452
• Equity at exit: $35,785

10-year hold

• IRR: -16.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.12×
• Total profit: $-59,164
• Equity at exit: $20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77091

• Home prices YoY: -24.9%
• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 680
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,906 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,259
• Tax from tax record: −$271 /mo · $3,250/yr
• Insurance: −$100
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$400
• Net cashflow: $-123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,063

Max offer price $218,196

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $12	-5% $-55	+0% $-123	+5% $-191	+10% $-259
Rent	-10% $-274	-5% $-199	+0% $-123	+5% $-48	+10% $27
Rate	-1.0pp $-3	-0.5pp $-62	base $-123	+0.5pp $-186	+1.0pp $-249

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $60,000
• Closing costs: $7,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 26 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	970	$1,550	$1.60	23d	9	0.58mi
7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	978	$1,550	$1.58	0d	9	0.58mi
7200 T C Jester Blvd Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1102	$1,550	$1.41	4d	8	0.58mi
6615 Goldspier St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1848	$2,150	$1.16	23d	1	0.62mi
6240 Antoine Dr Unit 6273 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1484	$1,424	$0.96	0d	1	0.74mi
5503 Bertellis Ln Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	2200	$2,500	$1.14	26d	1	0.97mi
5131 Spring Forest Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1810	$2,295	$1.27	26d	1	1.04mi
7008 Emma Lou St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1610	$3,000	$1.86	20d	1	1.06mi
5625 Antoine Dr Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	888	$900	$1.01	26d	12	1.13mi
5625 Antoine Dr Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	1052	$900	$0.86	1d	9	1.13mi
5500 Antoine Dr Apt 222 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1152	$1,050	$0.91	45d	1	1.14mi
7504 Carver Rd Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1694	$2,500	$1.48	1d	1	1.14mi
7504 Carver Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1694	$2,500	$1.48	7d	1	1.14mi
5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0804 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1179	$1,008	$0.85	3d	1	1.15mi
7628 Inwood Hills Ln Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1768	$2,500	$1.41	45d	1	1.19mi
7903 Moon Beam St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1217	$1,700	$1.40	18d	1	1.21mi
5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0614 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1179	$985	$0.84	45d	1	1.24mi
5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0816 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1179	$1,260	$1.07	3d	1	1.24mi
5853 Village Forest Ct Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1142	$1,600	$1.40	45d	1	1.24mi
8101 Venus St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1375	$1,595	$1.16	26d	1	1.25mi
8101 Venus St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1375	$1,699	$1.24	26d	1	1.25mi
2303 W Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0–3.0	2.0	1061	$1,145	$1.08	5d	3	1.25mi
5359 Deep Forest Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1227	$1,409	$1.15	26d	1	1.39mi
6555 Sealey St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1800	$2,700	$1.50	26d	1	1.40mi
6200 W Tidwell Rd Houston, TX	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1101	$1,300	$1.18	4d	11	1.41mi
5218 Long Creek Ln Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1941	$2,000	$1.03	45d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-05-18
   status Pending 846-char remark

   Show marketing remark (846 chars)

   Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

2. 2026-05-12
   status Active 846-char remark

   Show marketing remark (846 chars)

   Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

3. 2026-04-30
   status Pending 846-char remark

   Show marketing remark (846 chars)

   Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

4. 2026-04-28
   status Pending 846-char remark

   Show marketing remark (846 chars)

   Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

5. 2026-03-29
   historical $2,150
6. 2026-03-16
   status Active 846-char remark

   Show marketing remark (846 chars)

   Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

7. 2025-09-04
   listed $2,150
8. 2025-09-03
   historical $2,300
9. 2025-08-28
   price $2,300
10. 2025-08-02
    listed $2,400
11. 2025-06-24
    status Pending 846-char remark

    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

12. 2025-04-07
    status Pending 846-char remark

    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

13. 2025-03-29
    status Pending, Continue to Show 846-char remark

    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

14. 2025-03-28
    historical 846-char remark

    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

15. 2025-03-24
    listed $240,000 Active 846-char remark

    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

16. 2025-03-13
    historical $240,000 846-char remark

    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1,744 sq. ft. one-story home, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. With its inviting layout, this home boasts generous living spaces, ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Step inside to find a bright and airy living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area and a light and bright kitchen featuring ample counter space and storage. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath, while additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or more. Enjoy a clean, well-kept interior and a nicely sized covered patio, perfect for outdoor gatherings or quiet evenings at home. Nestled in a desirable neighborhood with easy access to shopping, dining, and top-rated schools, this home is truly a gem! Don’t miss out – schedule your showing today!

17. 2009-09-29
    historical
18. 2009-09-14
    listed $95,000
19. 2004-07-02
    historical
20. 2004-07-01
    listed $850
21. 2004-06-14
    historical
22. 2001-04-03
    listed $65,000
23. 1988-07-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,250 · $271/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,392 · $366/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,142/yr (+$95/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,875
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,444
• − Property taxes: −$3,250
• − Insurance: −$1,200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,830
• − Management: −$1,830
• − Depreciation: −$6,982
• Taxable loss: −$5,660
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,358
• After-tax cash flow: $-123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Aldine ISD
• NCES district ID: 4807710
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $37,081
• Composite: 15.42/100
• National rank: #9317
• State rank: #790 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 28,728
• Household income: $35,432
• Rent vs Own: 64.6% rent · 35.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 3210.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 45% Two or more races 15% White 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 29%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 24% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -94.19%
• Current HPI: 283.7523
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.10%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-96.7% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-05-12 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-04-30 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-28 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-29 Rental Removed $2,150 HARMLS
• 2026-03-16 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-09-04 Listed for Rent $2,150 HARMLS
• 2025-09-03 Rental Removed $2,300 HARMLS
• 2025-08-28 Price Changed $2,300 HARMLS
• 2025-08-02 Listed for Rent $2,400 HARMLS
• 2025-06-24 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-04-07 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-03-29 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-03-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-03-24 Listed $240,000 HARMLS
• 2025-03-13 Coming Soon $240,000 HARMLS
• 2009-09-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2009-09-14 Listed $95,000 HARMLS
• 2004-07-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2004-07-01 Listed $850 HARMLS
• 2004-06-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2001-04-03 Listed $65,000 HARMLS
• 1988-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,250 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.