3917 Adrian St · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great income producing property! Perfect home to add to your portfolio that is rent ready. Plenty of space with a good sized backyard. Freshly painted, new tile in the kitchen, and updated LVP flooring throughout. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Rent ready
- Updated lvp flooring
- Good sized backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $649 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.25%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,152
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- 27.46%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3938 Pixley Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (-1%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $67 | 85 |
| 3929 Pixley | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+4%) | 19mo | $64,500 | $59 | 73 |
| 6809 Broadway Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 987 (-6%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $76 | 70 |
| 6252 Rufus | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,157 (+10%) | 10mo | $12,000 | $10 | 68 |
| 3920 Murvon St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (-1%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $76 | 62 |
| 4135 Forest Oak Dr | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,162 (+10%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $47 | 54 |
| 3250 Wagner St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-1%) | 8mo | $29,500 | $28 | 52 |
| 6917 Lavender St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 7mo | $69,900 | $58 | 49 |
| 3517 Pleasant Dr | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,157 (+10%) | 1mo | $53,000 | $46 | 43 |
| 3027 Manson St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 987 (-6%) | 19mo | $19,900 | $20 | 40 |
| 5625 Mcalpine St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,201 (+14%) | 21mo | $24,950 | $21 | 36 |
| 6525 Quilen Blvd | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-13%) | 19mo | $39,900 | $44 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $20,132
- Equity at exit
- $12,800
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $53,365
- Equity at exit
- $13,039
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71109
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $929 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $410/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $404 | +0% $388 | +5% $373 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $352 | +0% $388 | +5% $425 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $416 | -0.5pp $402 | base $388 | +0.5pp $374 | +1.0pp $360 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $595 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3530 Pleasant Dr Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2943 Hillcrest Ave Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3437 Red Bud Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1393 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4021 Theo St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3306 Valley View Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4922 Daniel Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $975 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7504 W Canal Blvd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,150 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $725 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-02$55,000 Active 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Great income producing property! Perfect home to add to your portfolio that is rent ready. Plenty of space with a good sized backyard. Freshly painted, new tile in the kitchen, and updated LVP flooring throughout. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-06-18status Pending
-
2023-06-16historical
-
2023-03-21price $64,900
-
2023-01-14$69,900 Active
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2021-07-20historical
-
2021-06-01$72,900 Active
-
1996-08-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $410 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $410 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$410
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$892
- − Management
- −$892
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $3,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$959
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,412
- Household income
- $32,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1265.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 54.4158
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-24.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2023-06-18 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-06-16 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2023-03-21 Price Changed $64,900 NTREIS
- 2023-01-14 Listed $69,900 NTREIS
- 2021-07-20 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-06-01 Listed $72,900 NTREIS
- 1996-08-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $410 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…