105 Farm Ln · Mills River, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
Key facts
- Private porch
- Recreation room
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA required (Cedar Management Group); Monthly association fee of $324; Community clubhouse and fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned garage that faces front; 1-car garage (main level)
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Two levels; Basement foundation
- Construction: Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior
- Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Outdoor pool; Asphalt paved roads; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total — 2 upper-level, 1 basement-level
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Partially finished basement with storage and walk-out/walk-up access; Entry level 1
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (5.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (15.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $269k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.3% in Mills River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#253 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Henderson County Schools (suburban): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #64 of 178 in NC (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Glenn C Marlow Elementary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #90 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 580 students, 30% FRL); West Henderson High (math 73% / reading 63%, grade B, #137 of 535 statewide, top 26%, 1,087 students, 34% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Henderson County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,534 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henderson County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $182k; list at $319k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.30%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $314,145
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Farm Ln | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 1,814 (+13%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $157 | 78 |
| 127 Farm Ln | 0.03mi | 3/3.5 | 1,742 (+8%) | 17mo | $340,000 | $195 | 71 |
| 97 Farm Ln | 0.02mi | 2/3.5 (-1) | 1,800 (+12%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $147 | 69 |
| 538 Wheatfield Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (+4%) | 14mo | $351,210 | $210 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-57,794
- Equity at exit
- $47,564
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-58,034
- Equity at exit
- $27,581
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28759
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,695 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$324
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$566
- Net cashflow
- $-97
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Mud Creek Rd Fletcher, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $2,595 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $324 · $3,888/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $319,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $319,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $319,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $319,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $319,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-01-03price $319,000
-
2025-09-30price $324,000
-
2025-08-28$337,000 Active
-
2024-11-17$340,000 Active
-
2017-07-14soldstatus $182,250 495-char remark
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2017-07-14soldstatus $182,250 Sold 495-char remark
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2017-07-14soldstatus $183,000
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2017-06-05historical Under Contract (Show) 495-char remark
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2017-06-02historical 495-char remark
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2017-05-29$182,000 Active 495-char remark
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2017-05-29$182,000 495-char remark
Show marketing remark (495 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this move-in ready 3 bed/3.5 bath townhome in the highly sought after Glens of Aberdeen community. Home boasts vaulted ceilings, walk-in closets, a back deck AND a lower patio with rare back yard area. Enjoy the convenience of the single car garage on the main, the additional living area on the lower level, and the large unfinished storage space. Community features include an easy-to-walk neighborhood, pool, fitness center, and iconic dairy barn clubhouse.
-
2007-07-13soldstatus $176,000
-
2002-06-03soldstatus $140,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,616 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,465/yr (+$122/mo · 127.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$1,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,587
- − Management
- −$2,587
- − HOA
- −$3,888
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$6,617
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,588
- After-tax cash flow
- $428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henderson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702100
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,101
- Composite
- 42.5/100
- National rank
- #3206
- State rank
- #64 of 178 in NC
Livability — Mills River
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #11185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mills River, NC
- County
- Henderson County · 78,587 people
- City population
- 7,555
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,555
- Household income
- $107,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 25.0
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,075 people
- By 2030
- 129,690 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 139,898 · +12.8%
- By 2050
- 148,298 · +19.5%
- By 2075
- 163,980 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 166,962 · +34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 42.1% · R 56.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.5pp toward D · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+18.8 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.89%
- Current HPI
- 210.99
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+127.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $319,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $324,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Listed $337,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-17 Listed $340,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-14 Sold (MLS) $182,250 NCMMLS
- 2017-07-14 Sold (MLS) $182,250 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-05 Contingent — NCMMLS
- 2017-06-02 Delisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-29 Listed $182,000 NCMMLS
- 2017-05-29 Listed $182,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $140,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,150 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…