6742 Doctor Thomas Walker Rd · Rose Hill, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking to downsize or buy your first home? This quaint home has 2 bedrooms with an optional 3rd, 1 full bath, a spacious kitchen/dining combo, and living room. Below the house is a walk-out only basement for storage. This lot hosts a storage shed/small barn and fenced garden area. This property borders the creek. Lot size unknown. No heat or cooling, seller covered up the wood burning stove connect. With a little bit of work this home can be such a great investment! Call today for a showing!
Key facts
- Large eat-in kitchen
- New gutters
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; 820 building area (tax records)
- Construction: Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Storage structure on property; Rolling slope lot; Mountain view and country setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric); Central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $59k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.9% in Rose Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#49 in VA, #1,166 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Lee County Public School District (rural): math 53% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #62 of 131 in VA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.19%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,763
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 26.17%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6742 Doctor Thomas Walker Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 820 (0%) | 1mo | $53,000 | $65 | 94 |
| 6845 Dr Thomas Walker Rd | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+2%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $48 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $29,867
- Equity at exit
- $37,315
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.72×
- Total profit
- $77,991
- Equity at exit
- $67,864
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24281
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $404/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $231 | -5% $214 | +0% $198 | +5% $181 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $135 | -5% $166 | +0% $198 | +5% $229 | +10% $261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $227 | -0.5pp $213 | base $198 | +0.5pp $182 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Pinnacle Pl Unit 212-204 Rose Hill, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $845 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 50 Pinnacle Pl Rose Hill, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $702 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5743 Doctor Thomas Walker Rd Apt A Rose Hill, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11$59,000 Active 550-char remark
-
2021-09-08soldstatus $32,500
-
2021-09-01soldstatus $32,500 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Looking to downsize or buy your first home? This quaint home has 2 bedrooms with an optional 3rd, 1 full bath, a spacious kitchen/dining combo, and living room. Below the house is a walk-out only basement for storage. This lot hosts a storage shed/small barn and fenced garden area. This property borders the creek. Lot size unknown. No heat or cooling, seller covered up the wood burning stove connect. With a little bit of work this home can be such a great investment! Call today for a showing!
-
2021-07-28$35,000 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Looking to downsize or buy your first home? This quaint home has 2 bedrooms with an optional 3rd, 1 full bath, a spacious kitchen/dining combo, and living room. Below the house is a walk-out only basement for storage. This lot hosts a storage shed/small barn and fenced garden area. This property borders the creek. Lot size unknown. No heat or cooling, seller covered up the wood burning stove connect. With a little bit of work this home can be such a great investment! Call today for a showing!
-
2019-03-12soldstatus $16,000
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Handyman special conveniently located just off Hwy 58 on Dr. Thomas Walker Rd. Schools and Rose Hill Business District are a short distance. This fixer-upper would make a great first time home or rental property. VERY AFFORDABLY PRICED!!
-
2019-01-14$16,000
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Handyman special conveniently located just off Hwy 58 on Dr. Thomas Walker Rd. Schools and Rose Hill Business District are a short distance. This fixer-upper would make a great first time home or rental property. VERY AFFORDABLY PRICED!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $404 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $484 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$79/yr (+$7/mo · 19.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$404
- − Insurance
- −$1,092
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$768
- − Management
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $1,544
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102190
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,356
- Composite
- 50.06/100
- National rank
- #1913
- State rank
- #62 of 131 in VA
Livability — Rose Hill
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rose Hill, VA
- City population
- 28,136
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,327
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,861 people
- By 2030
- 21,701 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,188 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 16,619 · -27.3%
- By 2075
- 11,795 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 8,290 · -63.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.8% · R 85.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Current HPI
- 142.4815
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+231.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $53,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — Knoxville MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $59,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2021-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
- 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $32,500 Knoxville MLS
- 2021-07-28 Listed $35,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2019-03-12 Sold (MLS) $16,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2019-01-14 Listed $16,000 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $404 · +65.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…