111 Homewood Dr · Clinton, NY 13323

$279,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,159 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market

Built 2012 0.80 ac lot Est $309k · 10% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +11.8/15.0
• Cash flow +10.2/30.0
• Schools +5.5/10.0
• Livability +4.5/5.0
• 1% rule +3.4/10.0
• DSCR +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This could be just the home you've been waiting for. This newer build Ranch (2012) boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, first floor laundry, attached garage, full basement and an open floor plan on almost an acre of land. This home offers the perfect balance of easy living, tranquility and peace while providing easy access to all amenities. At Sellers request, all negotiations will be delayed until Monday, March 2, 2026 12:00 pm with a decision made later that same day.

Key facts

• 0.8 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2012

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (10.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (15.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $236k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 91/100 on livability (#2 in NY, #45 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities D.
• Clinton Central School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #185 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $235,769 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.84% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.61%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.45%
• DSCR: 0.89
• GRM: 9.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $309,453
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
111 Homewood Dr	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,159 (0%)	1mo	$310,000	$267	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.29×
• Total profit: $-55,474
• Equity at exit: $41,734

10-year hold

• IRR: -13.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.22×
• Total profit: $-61,086
• Equity at exit: $24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13323

• Home prices YoY: -22.2%
• Active inventory: 41
• Price-to-rent: 9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,358 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,468
• Tax from tax record: −$438 /mo · $5,261/yr
• Insurance: −$117
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$495
• Net cashflow: $-160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,561

Max offer price $251,585

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,975
• Closing costs: $8,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
118 Copeland Ct Apt 205 New Hartford, NY	2.0	2.0	1200	$2,100	$1.75	44d	1	0.99mi
167 Clinton Rd New Hartford, NY	3.0	1.0–2.5	1063	$3,000	$2.82	44d	15	1.04mi
55 Utica St Unit Duplex Clinton, NY	3.0	1.5	1000	$2,000	$2.00	44d	1	1.27mi
130 Pheasants Run Clinton, NY	2.0	1.5	1200	$2,250	$1.88	44d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-03
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-23
   listed $279,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,261 · $438/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,261 · $438/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,292
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,679
• − Property taxes: −$5,261
• − Insurance: −$1,400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,263
• − Management: −$2,263
• − Depreciation: −$8,143
• Taxable loss: −$6,716
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,612
• After-tax cash flow: $-312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clinton Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3607770
• Math proficiency: 57% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 71% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $57,439
• Composite: 55.05/100
• National rank: #1290
• State rank: #185 of 590 in NY

Livability — Clinton

• Score: 91/100
• State rank: #2
• US rank: #45

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,014

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 225,223 people
• By 2030: 220,384 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 209,071 · -7.2%
• By 2050: 197,920 · -12.1%
• By 2075: 175,541 · -22.1%
• By 2100: 148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -83.30%
• Current HPI: 292.0471
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-03 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-02-23 Listed $279,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,261 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.