9 Maple St · Bonneauville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short Sale. Buyer pays $6,000 loss mitigation fee. Enter at your own risk.
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking type
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Permanent foundation; Above-grade finished area about 1,550 square feet
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Below-grade area of about 550 square feet (unfinished)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating system: Other (oil-fired fuel); Hot water: Other
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,134 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Littlestown Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #249 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.23%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $286,320
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -72.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $20,695
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $61,697
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17325
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,580 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $526
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Colonial Dr Gettysburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1812 | $1,500 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02pricestatus $79,900 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$179,900 Active 74-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,236 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,236 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$3,236
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,491
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,318
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Littlestown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213980
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,657
- Composite
- 39.67/100
- National rank
- #3911
- State rank
- #249 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bonneauville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1134
- US rank
- #13009
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonneauville, PA
- County
- Adams County · 30,373 people
- Metro
- Gettysburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,373
- Household income
- $80,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 447.0
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.49%
- Current HPI
- 282.6594
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gettysburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-55.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,236 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…