10291 Normanwood Ct · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$206,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * Highest & Best Hold Period active - expires 06/22/2026 02:00 PM EST * * * Bring your contractor, your toolkit, and your imagination--this one won't last long! This 4/2 offers a split-bedroom plan with vaulted ceiling(s), walk-in closets, a spacious living room, and a family room w/ fireplace. Additional features include separate eating-space kitchen w/ breakfast bar, an indoor laundry area, and a fenced rear yard. This property is priced to sell. Schedule your showing today. ~ This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee).
Key facts
- Split-bedroom plan
- Indoor laundry area
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Weston Ranch HOA); Association fee $175 quarterly
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; Used as single family residential
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Other construction materials noted
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced backyard with wood fencing; Located on a cul-de-sac; City street frontage with asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Breakfast nook; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Split bedroom floorplan; Walk-in closets; Gas fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $206k).
- Recommended offer: $203k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.84%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $324,972
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1914 McGirts Bluff Ct | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 2,038 (-4%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $132 | 82 |
| 2039 Patriot Walk Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,124 (0%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $148 | 75 |
| 9814 Patriot Ridge Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,133 (+0%) | 6mo | $327,000 | $153 | 67 |
| 9819 Patriot Ridge Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,193 (+3%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 9874 Patriot Ridge Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,314 (+9%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $158 | 62 |
| 2390 Mallory Hills Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,059 (-3%) | 5mo | $361,000 | $175 | 55 |
| 10333 Sugar Grove Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,914 (-10%) | 1mo | $309,000 | $161 | 51 |
| 9839 Soldier Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,909 (-10%) | 12mo | $286,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 2019 Patriot Ridge Rd | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,816 (-14%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 10377 Shelby Creek Rd N | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,895 (-11%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $179 | 44 |
| 2015 Carter Landing Blvd | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 2,393 (+13%) | 8mo | $310,000 | $130 | 38 |
| 9658 Freefall Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,393 (+13%) | 2mo | $346,600 | $145 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-23,484
- Equity at exit
- $30,715
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-12,804
- Equity at exit
- $17,811
Cash invested: $57,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32221
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,311 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,080
- Tax from tax record
- −$417 /mo · $5,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$86
- HOA
- −$58
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,500
- Closing costs
- $6,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9836 Marine Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2286 | $2,221 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9670 Freefall Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2109 | $2,300 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2081 Chaffee Rd S Unit 43 Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $1,829 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2514 Paris Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,096 | $1.06 | 7d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10355 Shelby Creek Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1917 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10367 Shelby Creek Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2470 | $2,325 | $0.94 | 16d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10161 Meadow Pointe Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $2,035 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2625 Fox Creek Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2018 | $2,040 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2167 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2210 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,846 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1258 Summit Oaks Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1925 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1299 Summit Oaks Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,200 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1266 Summit Oaks Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,160 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1242 Summit Oaks Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $2,066 | $1.03 | 7d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $58 · $696/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $206,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 553-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $206,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $206,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $206,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $206,000 Pending 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $206,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $206,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $206,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-09$206,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,002 · $417/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,002 · $417/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,730
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,539
- − Property taxes
- −$5,002
- − Insurance
- −$1,030
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,218
- − Management
- −$2,218
- − HOA
- −$696
- − Depreciation
- −$5,993
- Taxable loss
- −$967
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$232
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,833
- Household income
- $82,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 516.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.74%
- Current HPI
- 263.7591
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.12%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — realMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $206,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,002 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…