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10291 Normanwood Ct
C Composite 58.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$206,000

10291 Normanwood Ct · Jacksonville, FL 32221
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,124 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2007 6,534 sqft lot Est $325k · 37% under $58/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * * Highest & Best Hold Period active - expires 06/22/2026 02:00 PM EST * * * Bring your contractor, your toolkit, and your imagination--this one won't last long! This 4/2 offers a split-bedroom plan with vaulted ceiling(s), walk-in closets, a spacious living room, and a family room w/ fireplace. Additional features include separate eating-space kitchen w/ breakfast bar, an indoor laundry area, and a fenced rear yard. This property is priced to sell. Schedule your showing today. ~ This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee).

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom plan
  • Indoor laundry area
  • Walk-in closets

Tags

SPLIT-BEDROOM PLANWALK-IN CLOSETSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMSEPARATE EATING-SPACE KITCHENBREAKFAST BARINDOOR LAUNDRY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (Weston Ranch HOA); Association fee $175 quarterly

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Used as single family residential
  • Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Other construction materials noted
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced backyard with wood fencing; Located on a cul-de-sac; City street frontage with asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Breakfast nook; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Split bedroom floorplan; Walk-in closets; Gas fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $206k).
  • Recommended offer: $203k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,910 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.84%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$324,972
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1914 McGirts Bluff Ct 0.13mi 4/2.0 2,038 (-4%) 6mo $270,000 $132 82
2039 Patriot Walk Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 2,124 (0%) 5mo $315,000 $148 75
9814 Patriot Ridge Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,133 (+0%) 6mo $327,000 $153 67
9819 Patriot Ridge Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,193 (+3%) 10mo $295,000 $135 65
9874 Patriot Ridge Dr 0.33mi 4/3.0 2,314 (+9%) 4mo $365,000 $158 62
2390 Mallory Hills Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,059 (-3%) 5mo $361,000 $175 55
10333 Sugar Grove Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,914 (-10%) 1mo $309,000 $161 51
9839 Soldier Ct 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,909 (-10%) 12mo $286,000 $150 50
2019 Patriot Ridge Rd 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,816 (-14%) 6mo $280,000 $154 48
10377 Shelby Creek Rd N 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,895 (-11%) 2mo $340,000 $179 44
2015 Carter Landing Blvd 0.69mi 4/2.5 2,393 (+13%) 8mo $310,000 $130 38
9658 Freefall Rd 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,393 (+13%) 2mo $346,600 $145 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-23,484
Equity at exit
$30,715
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-12,804
Equity at exit
$17,811

Cash invested: $57,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32221

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,311 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,080
Tax from tax record
$417 /mo · $5,002/yr
Insurance
$86
HOA
$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,077
Max offer price $206,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,500
Closing costs
$6,180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9836 Marine Ct Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 2286 $2,221 $0.97 23d 1 0.43mi
9670 Freefall Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 2109 $2,300 $1.09 14d 1 0.74mi
2081 Chaffee Rd S Unit 43 Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1904 $1,829 $0.96 4d 1 0.75mi
2514 Paris Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1974 $2,096 $1.06 7d 1 0.82mi
10355 Shelby Creek Rd S Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1917 $2,100 $1.10 20d 1 0.85mi
10367 Shelby Creek Rd S Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 2470 $2,325 $0.94 16d 1 0.85mi
10161 Meadow Pointe Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1810 $2,035 $1.12 16d 1 0.94mi
2625 Fox Creek Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 2018 $2,040 $1.01 23d 1 1.03mi
2167 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,900 $1.30 14d 1 1.26mi
2210 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,846 $1.27 23d 1 1.32mi
1258 Summit Oaks Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1925 $2,400 $1.25 14d 1 1.40mi
1299 Summit Oaks Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1610 $2,200 $1.37 1d 1 1.41mi
1266 Summit Oaks Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1632 $2,160 $1.32 2d 1 1.44mi
1242 Summit Oaks Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 2010 $2,066 $1.03 7d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$58 · $696/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $206,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 553-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $206,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $206,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    status $206,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    status $206,000 Pending 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $206,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $206,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $206,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
  10. 2026-05-21
    status Active
  11. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  12. 2026-05-15
    historical Active Under Contract
  13. 2026-05-09
    listed $206,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,002 · $417/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,002 · $417/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,730
− Mortgage interest
−$11,539
− Property taxes
−$5,002
− Insurance
−$1,030
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,218
− Management
−$2,218
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$5,993
Taxable loss
−$967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$232
After-tax cash flow
$2,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,833
Household income
$82,969
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.74%
Current HPI
263.7591
Rent YoY
▲ 2.12%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $206,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,002 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…