13974 S Agate · Odessa, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.
Key facts
- Storage
- Barn
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
- Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.11%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $59,974
- Equity at exit
- $70,144
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $154,205
- Equity at exit
- $120,491
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79766
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-03-31price $125,000 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.
-
2026-03-17status Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.
-
2026-03-14historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.
-
2026-03-04historical 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.
-
2026-02-12$135,000 Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.
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2025-12-04price $165,000
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2025-07-11price $175,000
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2025-06-04price $179,900
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2025-04-23price $185,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,252
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,021
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This single-family home on a 1.26-acre lot is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a cozy living space with a covered patio, storage, and RV space, making it an attractive property for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Rental Organize patio area — A well-organized patio can attract more renters and increase rental income.
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the property's value.
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and increase the property's value.
- Rental Replace worn-out furniture — Fresh furniture can attract more renters and increase rental income.
- Resale Install new flooring — New flooring can make the interior look more modern and increase the property's value.
- Both Upgrade HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
- Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract more buyers.
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can improve safety and security, making the property more attractive for both resale and rental.
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Organize patio area — A well-organized patio can attract more renters and increase rental income. ↑
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the property's value. ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and increase the property's value. ↑
- Rental Replace worn-out furniture — Fresh furniture can attract more renters and increase rental income. ↑
- Resale Install new flooring — New flooring can make the interior look more modern and increase the property's value. ↑
- Both Upgrade HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can improve safety and security, making the property more attractive for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ector County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818000
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,740
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #8233
- State rank
- #707 of 826 in TX
Livability — Odessa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #3928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 131,169
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,712
Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,765 people
- By 2030
- 241,962 · +13.7%
- By 2040
- 306,582 · +44.1%
- By 2050
- 379,755 · +78.5%
- By 2075
- 568,991 · +167.4%
- By 2100
- 709,829 · +233.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% White 25% Two or more races 24% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 63% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 4% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 63%
Political lean MEDSL · Ector
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Current HPI
- 222.3497
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-32.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $125,000 ODMLS
- 2026-03-17 Relisted — ODMLS
- 2026-03-14 Contingent — ODMLS
- 2026-03-04 Delisted — ODMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $135,000 ODMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $165,000 ODMLS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $175,000 ODMLS
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $179,900 ODMLS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $185,000 ODMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…