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13974 S Agate
B+ Composite 75.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$125,000

13974 S Agate · Odessa, TX 79766
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily · 100 Days on market
Built 2014 Good condition 1.26 ac lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.

Key facts

  • Storage
  • Barn
  • Covered patio

Tags

COVERED PATIOSTORAGEBARNRV SPACE HOOK UP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $113,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.11%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$59,974
Equity at exit
$70,144
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$154,205
Equity at exit
$120,491

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79766

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,725 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$499

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-03-31
    price $125,000 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.

  6. 2026-03-17
    status Active 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.

  7. 2026-03-14
    historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.

  8. 2026-03-04
    historical 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.

  9. 2026-02-12
    listed $135,000 Active 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Love is in the air with the amazing Cozy home on a 1.26 Approx acreage. This delightful residence features 1 bd, 1 bth with inside utility rm making it super convenient. Property has covered patio, a storage, a barn, & Rv space hook up for families to come and visit or to rent out! Call your favorite realtor today , don't miss out on this oppurtunity.

  10. 2025-12-04
    price $165,000
  11. 2025-07-11
    price $175,000
  12. 2025-06-04
    price $179,900
  13. 2025-04-23
    price $185,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,703
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,656
− Management
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$4,252
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,021
After-tax cash flow
$4,969/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home on a 1.26-acre lot is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a cozy living space with a covered patio, storage, and RV space, making it an attractive property for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Rental Organize patio area — A well-organized patio can attract more renters and increase rental income.
  • Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the property's value.
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and increase the property's value.
  • Rental Replace worn-out furniture — Fresh furniture can attract more renters and increase rental income.
  • Resale Install new flooring — New flooring can make the interior look more modern and increase the property's value.
  • Both Upgrade HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract more buyers.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can improve safety and security, making the property more attractive for both resale and rental.
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Rental Organize patio area — A well-organized patio can attract more renters and increase rental income.
  • Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the property's value.
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and increase the property's value.
  • Rental Replace worn-out furniture — Fresh furniture can attract more renters and increase rental income.
  • Resale Install new flooring — New flooring can make the interior look more modern and increase the property's value.
  • Both Upgrade HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract more buyers.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can improve safety and security, making the property more attractive for both resale and rental.
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
131,169
Population (ZIP)
10,712

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 68% White 25% Two or more races 24% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 63% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Serbian 4% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 63%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.91%
Current HPI
222.3497
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $125,000 ODMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Relisted ODMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Contingent ODMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Delisted ODMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $135,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $165,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $175,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $179,900 ODMLS
  • 2025-04-23 Price Changed $185,000 ODMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…