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1216 Minnesota Ave
B Composite 71.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,500

1216 Minnesota Ave · Flint, MI 48506
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1917 2,614 sqft lot Est $27k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

Key facts

  • 2,614 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1917

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.0% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $23,030 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.03%
Cap rate
34.02%
Cash-on-cash
99.03%
DSCR
5.41
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$27,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1220 Minnesota Ave 0.01mi 2/1.0 (-1) 884 (-3%) 7mo $26,500 $30 84
1644 Pennsylvania Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 839 (-8%) 6mo $43,000 $51 73
2301 Kansas Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 900 (-1%) 10mo $4,900 $5 72
306 Lafayette St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-1%) 9mo $100,000 $111 70
1818 Kansas Ave 0.18mi 2/1.5 (-1) 858 (-6%) 9mo $14,000 $16 67
1702 Nebraska Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 998 (+10%) 10mo $28,000 $28 66
1809 Kentucky Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,038 (+14%) 10mo $24,000 $23 64
301 Chandler St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+11%) 0mo $127,000 $126 59
601 Chalmers St 0.75mi 3/1.0 926 (+2%) 8mo $78,500 $85 56
1622 New York Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 839 (-8%) 6mo $34,500 $41 49
1513 Jane Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,002 (+10%) 3mo $12,000 $12 44
1241 Poplar St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,030 (+13%) 1mo $25,650 $25 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.68×
Total profit
$32,130
Equity at exit
$3,653
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.87×
Total profit
$74,579
Equity at exit
$2,118

Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$986 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$128
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $893/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$566

Break-even live

Break-even rent $270
Max offer price $24,500
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,125
Closing costs
$735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 875 $975 $1.11 13d 1 0.20mi
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 21d 1 0.31mi
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 13d 1 0.66mi
501 S Meade St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $695 $0.82 13d 1 0.71mi
2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 13d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    soldstatus $20,000
  2. 2026-03-23
    status Pending 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  3. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  4. 2026-02-21
    price $24,500 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  5. 2026-02-21
    price $24,500
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  6. 2026-01-25
    price $26,500 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  7. 2026-01-24
    price $26,500
  8. 2026-01-12
    price $28,500 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  9. 2026-01-12
    price $28,500
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  10. 2025-12-31
    listed $29,900 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  11. 2025-12-31
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  12. 2025-12-30
    historical $29,900 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Great investor special. Home is move in ready with a little love put in. Basement is in need of repair but is dry. 3-bedroom, 1 bath on a half-acre! Sold in "as-is" condition. Seller will make no repairs.

  13. 2023-03-01
    soldstatus $45,000
  14. 2013-07-12
    soldstatus $12,500
  15. 2001-10-03
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$893 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$893 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,837
− Mortgage interest
−$1,372
− Property taxes
−$893
− Insurance
−$122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$947
− Management
−$947
− Depreciation
−$713
Taxable income
$6,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,642
After-tax cash flow
$5,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $24,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $24,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-25 Price Changed $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $26,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $28,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $28,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-30 Coming Soon $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2013-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
  • 2001-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $893 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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