354 E Prima Vista Blvd · River Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1978
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 6.4% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.31%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $307,650
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 SE Prima Vista Blvd SE | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,557 (+6%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $199 | 70 |
| 503 NE Solida Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+4%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $250 | 69 |
| 192 NE Caprona Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (+5%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $224 | 66 |
| 425 NE Electra Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,396 (-5%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $215 | 63 |
| 175 SE Floresta Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,257 (-14%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $207 | 61 |
| 264 NE Summer Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (-1%) | 6mo | $289,000 | $199 | 60 |
| 159 NE Lobster Rd | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 1,602 (+9%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 453 SE Seabreeze Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,607 (+10%) | 11mo | $337,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 667 SE Harborview Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,563 (+7%) | 4mo | $465,000 | $298 | 48 |
| 208 SE Verada Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (+12%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $197 | 43 |
| 426 NE Solida Cir | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,246 (-15%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $161 | 42 |
| 109 SE Lucero Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,256 (-14%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $211 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $37,380
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $103,246
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34983
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 359
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,053/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$589
- Net cashflow
- $1,057
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,148 | -5% $1,102 | +0% $1,057 | +5% $1,012 | +10% $966 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $835 | -5% $946 | +0% $1,057 | +5% $1,168 | +10% $1,279 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,138 | -0.5pp $1,098 | base $1,057 | +0.5pp $1,016 | +1.0pp $973 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336 SE Tranquilla Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1412 | $2,700 | $1.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 160 NE Bracken Rd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 160 NE Bracken Rd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 107 SE Lucero Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,150 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 116 Prima Vista Blvd Unit A Port St. Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1314 | $2,600 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 216 NE Mainsail St Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,550 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 151 SE Castana Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 154 SE Selva Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 249 NE Glentry Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $2,800 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 642 SW Bolin Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,150 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 326 Shady Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,250 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 805 SE Cavern Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $2,550 | $2.65 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 365 NW Hibiscus St Port Saint Lucie, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $4,000 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 507 NW Billiar Ave Port St Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $2,350 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-04-04$160,000 Active
-
2026-04-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-12-28$170,000
-
2025-11-26historical
-
2025-11-18$175,000 Active
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $360,000 Closed
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $360,000 Closed
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $360,000
-
2023-07-18status Pending
-
2023-07-18status Pending
-
2023-07-14$355,000 Active
-
2023-07-14$355,000 Active
-
2023-04-24historical
-
2023-04-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-03-28status Active
-
2023-03-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-03-03price $344,900
-
2023-03-01status Active
-
2023-03-01historical
-
2023-02-22price $347,500
-
2023-02-01price $357,900
-
2023-01-10price $364,900
-
2023-01-10status Active
-
2022-12-19historical
-
2022-11-23$370,000 Active
-
2022-06-22soldstatus $240,000
-
1991-05-08soldstatus $59,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,053 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,053 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,678
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$3,053
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,694
- − Management
- −$2,694
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $10,820
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,597
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,087/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — River Park
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #8159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- River Park, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,001
- Household income
- $75,489
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 843.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.28%
- Current HPI
- 407.6341
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.53%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+168.0% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-04 Listed $160,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-01 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $170,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-26 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $175,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $360,000 MCRTC
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $360,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-18 Pending — MCRTC
- 2023-07-18 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-14 Listed $355,000 MCRTC
- 2023-07-14 Listed $355,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-04-24 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-04-06 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-28 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-18 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-03 Price Changed $344,900 Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-01 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-02-22 Price Changed $347,500 Beaches MLS
- 2023-02-01 Price Changed $357,900 Beaches MLS
- 2023-01-10 Price Changed $364,900 Beaches MLS
- 2023-01-10 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-12-19 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-11-23 Listed $370,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 1991-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $59,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,053 · -35.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…