214 Winterroth St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 214 Winterroth Street! A beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home that perfectly blends modern style with everyday convenience. Step inside to discover a bright and open floor plan designed for comfortable living and easy entertaining. Recent updates throughout give the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. The spacious layout offers generous living areas, well-sized bedrooms, an unfinished basement of approximately additional 642 square footage, and two full baths to accommodate today’s lifestyle. Ideally located just minutes from area hospitals, shopping, restaurants, and major expressways, this home provides the perfect combination of neighborhood charm and accessibility.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Unfinished basement
- Rare space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $150k implies a 782% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.40%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,453
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Winterroth St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 837 (0%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $215 | 99 |
| 297 Ellison St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 758 (-9%) | 1mo | $191,000 | $252 | 73 |
| 135 Jerold St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (+9%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 82 Midland Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 803 (-4%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $230 | 58 |
| 103 Rustic St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 899 (+7%) | 15mo | $152,000 | $169 | 54 |
| 58 Ferncliffe Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 889 (+6%) | 12mo | $98,500 | $111 | 54 |
| 1890 Clifford Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+12%) | 17mo | $138,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 285 Waring Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-2%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $211 | 51 |
| 362 Fourth St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 787 (-6%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $38 | 49 |
| 129 Revella St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 908 (+8%) | 16mo | $170,000 | $187 | 42 |
| 122 Revella St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 861 (+3%) | 18mo | $145,000 | $168 | 41 |
| 312 Marne St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 882 (+5%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $125 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,562
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $50,046
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14609
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,454 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $917/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,030 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 222 Ellison St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 16 Cummings St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 16 Cummings St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11 Renwood St Unit Dn Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,095 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 65 Waring Rd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $848 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 25 Trust St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1003 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 500 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 10d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 14 Beechwood St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| — Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 50 Harwick Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 3d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 930 | $2,005 | $2.16 | 2d | 9 | 0.91mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,675 | $1.68 | 43d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,775 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2145 Norton St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $902 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 21 Portland Ct Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,210 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,485 | $2.28 | 2d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 322 Wisconsin St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,630 | $1.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2362 Culver Rd Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,455 | $2.16 | 2d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 250 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,675 | $2.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 254 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $975 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 636 University Ave Apt 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 405 Alexander St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,425 | $1.78 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 10d | 4 | 1.43mi |
| 933 University Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1295 | $3,815 | $2.94 | 2d | 12 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-21status Pending
-
2026-03-04$149,900 Active
-
2026-02-10$169,900 Active
-
2024-10-16soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $917 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,725 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$808/yr (+$67/mo · 88.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$917
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,396
- − Management
- −$1,396
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $236
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,274
- Household income
- $64,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2183.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.57%
- Current HPI
- 328.7053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+781.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $169,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $917 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…