1904 Havana Ave #1 · Fort Pierce, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom 2 bath condo SOLD AS IS great investment property or to reside in, needs new roof and some interior updates, investor friendly policy- no age restrictions and rentals allowed immediately.
Key facts
- No age restrictions
- Investment property
- $100 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.7% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,721/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.40%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $25,370
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $91,938
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34950
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,721 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $638 | -5% $603 | +0% $569 | +5% $534 | +10% $500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $433 | -5% $501 | +0% $569 | +5% $637 | +10% $705 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $619 | -0.5pp $594 | base $569 | +0.5pp $543 | +1.0pp $517 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904 Havana Ave #16 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Unit 104 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1850 Nebraska Ave Unit 204 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1830 Nebraska Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 924 | $1,799 | $1.95 | 14d | 5 | 0.28mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 202 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,749 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 103 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 201 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 203 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 102 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Unit 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,699 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 104 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1567 Pheasant Walk Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1439 Captains Walk Unit 20D Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1406 Citrus Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,600 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 510 Texas Ct Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 624 S 12th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1310 Atlantic Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1310 Atlantic Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,620 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 205 N 22nd St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 306 N 18th Ct #2 Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,150 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1002 Boston Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $2,000 | $2.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 127 S 10th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $1,800 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3208 Louisiana Ave Apt 3 Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 204 N 28th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 312 N 27th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,600 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 434 N 17th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,500 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1607 Avenue D Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 804 Orange Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 804 Orange Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 508 Means Ct Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 826 | $1,950 | $2.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 508 Means Ct Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $775 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1617 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3005 Tennessee Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,400 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2016 S 10th St Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 505 N 27th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $2,660 | $3.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1016 Chipola Rd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1016 Chipola Rd Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-02-19price $99,900
-
2026-02-09price $105,000
-
2026-01-22price $119,000
-
2026-01-22$105,000 Active
-
2020-10-19historical
-
2020-09-09$66,500 Active
-
2010-05-28historical
-
2010-02-14$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,652
- − Management
- −$1,652
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,643
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #3360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Pierce, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 78,556
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,461
- Household income
- $30,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1995.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 17% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 17% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 12% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.20%
- Current HPI
- 384.8532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.94%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+122.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $99,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $105,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $119,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $105,000 Beaches MLS
- 2020-10-19 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2020-09-09 Listed $66,500 Beaches MLS
- 2010-05-28 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2010-02-14 Listed $45,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…