1100 Indian Dr · Wallenpaupack Lake Estates, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$379,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is the kind of home that just makes sense--fully furnished, move-in ready, and set up to give you the space and flexibility you didn't realize you needed. Located in Wallenpaupack Lake Estates, this home offers a rare combination of comfort, functionality, and convenience. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, weekend retreat, or a home that easily accommodates guests, this layout is designed to adapt to your lifestyle. The lower level provides its own separate living space with direct access through the 1.5-car garage. A spacious family room with an electric fireplace creates a comfortable setting, along with a bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. With room to incorpora
Key facts
- Direct access
- Move in ready
- Electric fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-646 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (30.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (32.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.4% in Wallenpaupack Lake Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#896 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, employment A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $380k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.29%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $447,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 Indian Dr | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 2,268 (-5%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $163 | 90 |
| 1040 Indian Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,434 (+2%) | 11mo | $340,000 | $140 | 69 |
| 1031 Tomahawk Rd | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 2,126 (-11%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $193 | 68 |
| 1114 Commanche Cir | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,272 (-5%) | 3mo | $299,000 | $132 | 64 |
| 119 Harmony Dr | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 | 2,424 (+1%) | 4mo | $374,000 | $154 | 61 |
| 1071 Red Hawk Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,269 (-5%) | 1mo | $440,000 | $194 | 60 |
| 1010 Redlawn Ln | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 2,066 (-14%) | 7mo | $395,000 | $191 | 60 |
| 1013 Tomahawk Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,124 (-11%) | 8mo | $405,000 | $191 | 58 |
| 1008 Cedar Dr | 0.46mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,653 (+11%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $98 | 53 |
| 1008 Blue Spruce Ln | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 2,040 (-15%) | 6mo | $420,000 | $206 | 52 |
| 1014 Sundew Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,060 (-14%) | 10mo | $386,000 | $187 | 36 |
| 1071 Deer Valley Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,198 (-8%) | 13mo | $312,500 | $142 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $165,830
- Equity at exit
- $342,244
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $520,829
- Equity at exit
- $738,062
Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18436
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,565 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,992
- Tax from tax record
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$197
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $-646
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,975
- Closing costs
- $11,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $197 · $2,364/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-15$379,900 Active
-
2025-10-20historical
-
2025-09-18price $395,000
-
2025-09-18price $395,000
-
2025-06-26$419,000 Active
-
2025-06-23$419,000 Active
-
2025-06-22historical
-
2002-03-18soldstatus $145,000
-
1999-05-26soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,898 · $325/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,950 · $413/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,052/yr (+$88/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,280
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,462
- − Management
- −$2,462
- − HOA
- −$2,364
- − Depreciation
- −$11,052
- Taxable loss
- −$14,638
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wallenpaupack Lake Estates
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #896
- US rank
- #9541
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wallenpaupack Lake Estates, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,225
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.95%
- Current HPI
- 331.9645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+230.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — PWMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $379,900 PWMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $395,000 PWMLS
- 2025-06-26 Listed $419,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-23 Listed $419,000 PWMLS
- 2025-06-22 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,898 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…