CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4834 Center Point Rd
B- Composite 67.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4834 Center Point Rd · Tompkinsville, KY 42167
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · SingleFamily · 94 Days on market
Built 2022 Poor condition 1.45 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a getaway then look no further. This mini home is located approx. 4 miles from McMillans Ferry on the mighty Cumberland river. This home sets on 1.45 acres of country. This home is heated by solar, has county water available and the location speaks for itself.

Key facts

  • County water
  • Cumberland river
  • Solar heating

Tags

CUMBERLAND RIVER1.45 ACRESSOLAR HEATINGCOUNTY WATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($921 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.3% in Tompkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#116 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Monroe County (rural): math 36% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 165 in KY (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $59,150 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.43%
Cash-on-cash
18.36%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$7,214
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$29,172
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42167

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$921 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $323 -5% $301 +0% $278 +5% $256 +10% $234
Rent -10% $206 -5% $242 +0% $278 +5% $315 +10% $351
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $295 base $278 +0.5pp $262 +1.0pp $244

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-03-18
    listed $65,000 Active 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    Looking for a getaway then look no further. This mini home is located approx. 4 miles from McMillans Ferry on the mighty Cumberland river. This home sets on 1.45 acres of country. This home is heated by solar, has county water available and the location speaks for itself.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,052
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$884
− Management
−$884
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$2,452
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$589
After-tax cash flow
$2,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof, exterior siding, flooring, interior walls, HVAC system, landscaping, and fencing are all in poor condition and need significant work.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof appears to be made of corrugated metal and shows signs of wear and tear.
  • Major exterior siding — The siding is weathered and shows significant wear.
  • Major flooring — The flooring appears to be vinyl or linoleum and is in poor condition.
  • Major interior walls — The interior walls are bare and show signs of wear.
  • Major HVAC system — The HVAC system appears to be old and may need replacement.
  • Major landscaping — The landscaping is sparse and unkempt.
  • Major fencing — The fencing is in poor condition and appears to be made of wood planks that are rotting and broken.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both exterior siding repair — Repairing the siding would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both interior wall repair — Repairing the interior walls would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — Replacing the HVAC system would improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
  • Both landscaping — Landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both fencing repair — Repairing the fencing would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · The roof appears to be made of corrugated metal and shows signs of wear and tear. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · The siding is weathered and shows significant wear. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · The flooring appears to be vinyl or linoleum and is in poor condition. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · The interior walls are bare and show signs of wear. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · The HVAC system appears to be old and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The landscaping is sparse and unkempt. Major $15,000–50,000
fencing · The fencing is in poor condition and appears to be made of wood planks that are rotting and broken. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 7 items $105,000–350,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both exterior siding repair — Repairing the siding would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both flooring replacement — Replacing the flooring would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both interior wall repair — Repairing the interior walls would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — Replacing the HVAC system would improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
  • Both landscaping — Landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both fencing repair — Repairing the fencing would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe County
NCES district ID
2104200
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$31,073
Composite
34.3/100
National rank
#5241
State rank
#28 of 165 in KY

Livability — Tompkinsville

Score
73/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#5249

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,393

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,011 people
By 2030
9,596 · -4.1%
By 2040
8,766 · -12.4%
By 2050
7,971 · -20.4%
By 2075
6,249 · -37.6%
By 2100
4,466 · -55.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.3) · D 10.8% · R 88.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -53.0pp · 2024: -77.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.3 2020: R+74.5 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+53.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.73%
Current HPI
234.7064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $65,000 SCKMLSKY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…