2483 Hillside Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TENANT OCCUPIED, 24-hour notice is required for showings : Here's the total electric 4-sided brick, 3-bedroom home equipped with central heat & air, a dishwasher, refrigerator, stove & a bonus room you are strolling to locate at the right price of $90,000.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1959
- Listed 69 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,267/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $90k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.53%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,140
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 2.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2422 Adger Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-2%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $113 | 82 |
| 4255 Vinson Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (-2%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $72 | 73 |
| 2473 Charlene Ct | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,048 (-7%) | 1mo | $111,000 | $106 | 67 |
| 4525 Clover Pl | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,291 (+14%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 2665 Chatsworth Ct | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (-6%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $47 | 60 |
| 2738 Village Green Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-6%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 2552 Allan Way | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,062 (-6%) | 0mo | $124,500 | $117 | 55 |
| 5780 Edwina Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+6%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $104 | 55 |
| 2704 Reynolds Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-8%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $68 | 50 |
| 2844 Shamrock Ln | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-11%) | 2mo | $47,000 | $47 | 46 |
| 5756 Edwina Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-11%) | 5mo | $132,000 | $132 | 45 |
| 2642 Reynolds Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 986 (-13%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $132 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $14,176
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $57,273
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,267 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $980/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $461 | -5% $436 | +0% $410 | +5% $385 | +10% $359 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $310 | -5% $360 | +0% $410 | +5% $460 | +10% $510 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $433 | base $410 | +0.5pp $387 | +1.0pp $363 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4471 Elkan Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4331 Ashland Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $725 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4455 Fairfax Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,225 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4685 Pinedale Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $850 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5962 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2641 Leone Dr N Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5711 Sterling Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,275 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2916 Walmar Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,275 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4069 Blair Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $850 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,125 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $975 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $90,000 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
TENANT OCCUPIED, 24-hour notice is required for showings : Here's the total electric 4-sided brick, 3-bedroom home equipped with central heat & air, a dishwasher, refrigerator, stove & a bonus room you are strolling to locate at the right price of $90,000.
-
2026-05-05price $90,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
TENANT OCCUPIED, 24-hour notice is required for showings : Here's the total electric 4-sided brick, 3-bedroom home equipped with central heat & air, a dishwasher, refrigerator, stove & a bonus room you are strolling to locate at the right price of $90,000.
-
2026-04-12$95,000 Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
TENANT OCCUPIED, 24-hour notice is required for showings : Here's the total electric 4-sided brick, 3-bedroom home equipped with central heat & air, a dishwasher, refrigerator, stove & a bonus room you are strolling to locate at the right price of $90,000.
-
2026-04-10$95,000 New 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
TENANT OCCUPIED, 24-hour notice is required for showings : Here's the total electric 4-sided brick, 3-bedroom home equipped with central heat & air, a dishwasher, refrigerator, stove & a bonus room you are strolling to locate at the right price of $90,000.
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2025-12-09historical
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2025-11-13$105,000 New
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2020-07-02soldstatus $50,000
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2020-05-06historical
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2020-05-04$60,000
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2019-06-13$97,000
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2002-12-20soldstatus $67,000
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1998-11-10soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$980
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,217
- − Management
- −$1,217
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $3,686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$885
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+221.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $90,000 MGMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $90,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $95,000 MGMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $95,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
- 2020-07-02 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MGMLS
- 2020-05-06 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2020-05-04 Listed $60,000 MGMLS
- 2019-06-13 Listed $97,000 GAMLS
- 2002-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1998-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2025): $980 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…