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408 Cumberland Dr
C Composite 55.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0

$126,000

408 Cumberland Dr · Bartlesville, OK 74003
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,285 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1960 7,500 sqft lot Est $113k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newer windows, two living areas, dining room, three bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, one car garage, hot tub on patio. (HUD 422-281817) Owner Occupant only, first five days.

Key facts

  • 7,500 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks; Gutters

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with shelving (1 car)
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces northwest; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
  • Exterior features: Patio; Rain gutters; Chain-link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with pantry; Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven / Range / Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first level); Two additional bedrooms (first level); Bedrooms located on the first level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with shower (first level, hall bath with double sink); One half bathroom (first level, master bath listed as half)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Laminate counters; Electric oven and range connections
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $126k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($871 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $126k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,440 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.17%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
402 Lahoma 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,233 (-4%) 1mo $107,500 $87 81
507 Highland Dr 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,162 (-10%) 2mo $83,000 $71 76
504 Highland Dr 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,154 (-10%) 1mo $60,000 $52 75
421 NW Oak Park Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,222 (-5%) 2mo $115,000 $94 74
409 Highland Dr 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-14%) 3mo $80,000 $73 69
430 NW Highland 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,138 (-11%) 6mo $100,000 $88 68
420 NW Lahoma Dr 0.23mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,417 (+10%) 0mo $100,400 $71 65
520 Highland Dr 0.21mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,149 (-11%) 4mo $135,000 $117 64
705 Palmetto Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,144 (-11%) 5mo $120,000 $105 58
114 Ramblewood 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,414 (+10%) 0mo $145,000 $103 57
709 Brentwood Rd 0.39mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,141 (-11%) 2mo $132,000 $116 57
518 Carol Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+13%) 2mo $86,305 $59 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$80,130
Equity at exit
$113,511
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
7.43×
Total profit
$226,797
Equity at exit
$244,790

Cash invested: $35,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74003

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$661
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $661/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $973
Max offer price $126,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,500
Closing costs
$3,780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $126,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $126,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $126,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $126,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $126,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $126,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $126,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $126,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $126,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $126,000 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $126,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $126,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $126,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $126,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $126,000 Active 59 DOM
  17. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
  19. 2026-03-12
    listed $126,000 Active
  20. 2012-07-16
    soldstatus $21,000 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Newer windows, two living areas, dining room, three bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, one car garage, hot tub on patio. (HUD 422-281817) Owner Occupant only, first five days.

  21. 2012-06-06
    historical 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Newer windows, two living areas, dining room, three bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, one car garage, hot tub on patio. (HUD 422-281817) Owner Occupant only, first five days.

  22. 2012-04-24
    listed $21,000 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Newer windows, two living areas, dining room, three bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, one car garage, hot tub on patio. (HUD 422-281817) Owner Occupant only, first five days.

  23. 2008-03-12
    soldstatus $60,000
  24. 2008-03-11
    soldstatus $59,995 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    One newer window, large utility room, updated bath with new vanities & ceramic tile, new shower. Open floor plan, bonus room could be a den or 4th bedroom. Sun room & newer roof. Fresh ext. paint. One small place to fence & gate.

  25. 2008-02-12
    historical 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    One newer window, large utility room, updated bath with new vanities & ceramic tile, new shower. Open floor plan, bonus room could be a den or 4th bedroom. Sun room & newer roof. Fresh ext. paint. One small place to fence & gate.

  26. 2007-08-29
    listed $55,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    One newer window, large utility room, updated bath with new vanities & ceramic tile, new shower. Open floor plan, bonus room could be a den or 4th bedroom. Sun room & newer roof. Fresh ext. paint. One small place to fence & gate.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$661 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,134 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$473/yr (+$39/mo · 71.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,426
− Mortgage interest
−$7,058
− Property taxes
−$661
− Insurance
−$630
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,154
− Management
−$1,154
− Depreciation
−$3,665
Taxable income
$104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$25
After-tax cash flow
$2,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bartlesville
NCES district ID
4003630
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$48,889
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7389
State rank
#59 of 270 in OK

Livability — Bartlesville

Score
64/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#13940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bartlesville, OK
County
Washington County · 41,935 people
City population
41,935
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
Population (ZIP)
14,024
Household income
$47,168
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
395.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,946 people
By 2030
56,249 · +2.4%
By 2040
58,867 · +7.1%
By 2050
61,600 · +12.1%
By 2075
69,355 · +26.2%
By 2100
73,067 · +33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.0% · R 72.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.78%
Current HPI
309.9534
Rent YoY
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-17 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $126,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2012-07-16 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2012-06-06 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2012-04-24 Listed $21,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2008-03-11 Sold (MLS) $59,995 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-02-12 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $55,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $661 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…