925 W Chicago St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom (3rd bedroom is nonconforming for a closet), 1 bath house on a quiet street. Great location close to schools and shopping. Home does have central heat and air and most windows have been replaced. Would make a great investment property or first time home. Call for your private showing today!
Key facts
- Remodeled gem
- Covered front porch
- Open floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Built as residential single family; Approx. 797 above-grade finished area
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric oven
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($924 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bowerman Elem. (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 243 students, 90% FRL); Hillcrest High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 1,017 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 46% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.13%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 930 W Chicago St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-9%) | 5mo | $112,900 | $168 | 80 |
| 920 W Talmage St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+6%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $172 | 74 |
| 800 W Della St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 808 (+10%) | 2mo | $114,900 | $142 | 74 |
| 2306 N Fay Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (+2%) | 3mo | $136,500 | $182 | 62 |
| 2101 N Main Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+6%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $173 | 61 |
| 2333 N Farmer Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+4%) | 8mo | $69,900 | $91 | 58 |
| 1862 N Missouri Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+6%) | 6mo | $144,500 | $185 | 57 |
| 1322 W Atlantic St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+6%) | 10mo | $110,500 | $141 | 53 |
| 2550 N Broadway Ave | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 648 (-12%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $123 | 53 |
| 2219 N Nettleton Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+11%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $135 | 52 |
| 2543 N Campbell Ave | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 680 (-8%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $74 | 51 |
| 1121 W Florida St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 844 (+15%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $68 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $3,783
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $28,169
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $924 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $391/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $290 | -5% $267 | +0% $245 | +5% $222 | +10% $200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $172 | -5% $208 | +0% $245 | +5% $281 | +10% $318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $285 | -0.5pp $265 | base $245 | +0.5pp $224 | +1.0pp $203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 E Dale St Apt B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $795 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2850 N Campbell Ave Apt S Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 727 | $750 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2346 N Kellett Ave Apt B Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $825 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $895 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $79,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$89,900 Active
-
2024-03-29$95,000 Active
-
2021-11-18soldstatus 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
3 bedroom (3rd bedroom is nonconforming for a closet), 1 bath house on a quiet street. Great location close to schools and shopping. Home does have central heat and air and most windows have been replaced. Would make a great investment property or first time home. Call for your private showing today!
-
2021-08-03$59,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
3 bedroom (3rd bedroom is nonconforming for a closet), 1 bath house on a quiet street. Great location close to schools and shopping. Home does have central heat and air and most windows have been replaced. Would make a great investment property or first time home. Call for your private showing today!
-
2021-06-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $391 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $775 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$384/yr (+$32/mo · 98.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$391
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$413
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $89,900 SOMO
- 2024-03-29 Listed $95,000 SOMO
- 2021-11-18 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2021-08-03 Listed $59,900 SOMO
- 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $391 · +26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…